July 31, 2014

Jake Marisnick and 6 others: Houston AstrosMiami Marlins

Houston Astros came out ahead by 5.7 WAR, most of it from Jake Marisnick.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season6WAR in+1.1WAR out+2.1Net-1.0Net surplus−$5.5M
Short term91WAR in+3.2WAR out+2.0Net+1.2Net surplus$12.0M
Control window96WAR in+7.6WAR out+1.9Net+5.7Net surplus$34.6M
Full tenure96WAR in+8.8WAR out+1.9Net+6.9Net surplus$39.0M

HOU won the World Series in 2017

Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
4far worse
Franchise trade score4
Rest of season94WAR in+2.1WAR out+1.1Net+1.0Net surplus$5.5M
Short term9WAR in+2.0WAR out+3.2Net-1.2Net surplus−$12.0M
Control window4WAR in+1.9WAR out+7.6Net-5.7Net surplus−$34.6M
Full tenure4WAR in+1.9WAR out+8.8Net-6.9Net surplus−$39.0M

Houston Astros received

Jake MarisnickCF · 23 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+8.0WAR (control) · 5 yr86
Rest of season85WAR+1.1wRC+87PA186Surplus$6.9M
Short term85WAR+3.2wRC+85PA558Surplus$23.0M
Control window87WAR+8.0wRC+85PA1363Surplus$47.9M
Full tenure87WAR+9.2wRC+85PA1681Surplus$52.4M

On the day: +0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 31, salary $500K.

Colin Moran3B · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr30
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window27WAR-0.1wRC+76PA37Surplus−$1.2M
Full tenure28WAR-0.1wRC+76PA37Surplus−$1.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

Francis MartesP · 19 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr27
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window22WAR-0.3FIP−103IP54Surplus−$2.0M
Full tenure22WAR-0.3FIP−103IP54Surplus−$2.0M
Player to be named later—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jake Marisnickpre-arb$500K$4.2M+8.0$0.5M$47.9M
Colin Moranprospectest.$1.1M-0.1—−$1.2M
Francis Martesprospectest.$0.6M-0.3—−$2.0M
Total over the control window$6.0M+7.6$0.8M$44.7M

Miami Marlins received

Jarred CosartP · 24 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+1.4WAR (control) · 3 yr75
Rest of season92WAR+1.7FIP−93IP64Surplus$10.4M
Short term78WAR+1.5FIP−115IP134Surplus$9.0M
Control window74WAR+1.4FIP−114IP153Surplus$8.1M
Full tenure73WAR+1.4FIP−114IP153Surplus$8.1M

On the day: +4.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 108, salary $500K.

Enrique Hernández1B · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr69
Rest of season86WAR+0.5wRC+94PA45Surplus$2.0M
Short term72WAR+0.5wRC+94PA45Surplus$2.0M
Control window69WAR+0.5wRC+94PA45Surplus$2.0M
Full tenure68WAR+0.5wRC+94PA45Surplus$2.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

Austin Wates—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jarred Cosartpre-arb$500K$1.3M+1.4$0.9M$8.1M
Enrique Hernándezpre-arbest.$0.2M+0.5—$2.0M
Total over the control window$1.5M+1.9$0.8M$10.1M

What this became

  1. Enrique Hernández → LADDee Strange-Gordon, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2014+7.4 WAR
  2. Jarred Cosart → SDPColin Rea, MIA ⇄ SDP, 2016-0.2 WAR
  3. Colin Moran → PITGerrit Cole, HOU ⇄ PIT, 2018+0.8 WAR
  4. Jake Marisnick → NYMBlake Taylor, HOU ⇄ NYM, 2019+0.3 WAR
  5. Dan Haren → CHCDan Haren, CHC ⇄ MIA, 2015+0.2 WAR
  6. Colin Rea → SDPMIA ⇄ SDP, 2016-0.1 WAR
  7. Chris Hatcher → OAKLAD ⇄ OAK, 2017-0.0 WAR
  8. Dee Strange-Gordon → SEADee Strange-Gordon, MIA ⇄ SEA, 2017+1.2 WAR
  9. Josh Naylor → CLEJosh Naylor, CLE ⇄ SDP, 2020+6.2 WAR
  10. Joe Musgrove → SDPJoe Musgrove, NYM ⇄ PIT ⇄ SDP, 2021+6.5 WAR
  11. Miguel Rojas → LADMiguel Rojas, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2023+4.0 WAR
  12. Luis Castillo → CINLuis Castillo, CIN ⇄ MIA, 2017+16.7 WAR
  13. Greg Allen → NYYGreg Allen, NYY ⇄ SDP, 2021+0.6 WAR
  14. Owen Miller → MILOwen Miller, CLE ⇄ MIL, 2022+0.2 WAR
  15. Cal Quantrill → COLCal Quantrill, CLE ⇄ COL, 2023+1.1 WAR
  16. Jacob Amaya → HOUValente Bellozo, HOU ⇄ MIA, 2024-0.0 WAR
  17. Josh Naylor → ARIJosh Naylor, ARI ⇄ CLE, 2024+1.1 WAR
  18. David Bednar → NYYDavid Bednar, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2025+2.6 WAR
  19. Luis Castillo → SEALuis Castillo, CIN ⇄ SEA, 2022+4.4 WAR
  20. Owen Miller → COLOwen Miller, COL ⇄ MIL, 2024+0.0 WAR
  21. Josh Naylor → SEAJosh Naylor, ARI ⇄ SEA, 2025+2.0 WAR
  22. Brian Sanchez → MIALake Bachar, MIA ⇄ PIT, 2026— WAR

Also that day

Joe Kelly, BOS ⇄ STL, 2014Boston Red Sox ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsSam Fuld, MIN ⇄ OAK, 2014Minnesota Twins ⇄ AthleticsJon Lester, BOS ⇄ OAK, 2014Boston Red Sox ⇄ AthleticsAbraham Almonte, SDP ⇄ SEA, 2014San Diego Padres ⇄ Seattle MarinersAsdrúbal Cabrera, CLE ⇄ WSN, 2014Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Washington NationalsEduardo Rodríguez, BAL ⇄ BOS, 2014Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Boston Red SoxGerardo Parra, ARI ⇄ MIL, 2014Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersBOS ⇄ NYY, 2014Boston Red Sox ⇄ New York YankeesMartín Prado, ARI ⇄ NYY, 2014Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ New York YankeesVíctor Caratini, ATL ⇄ CHC, 2014Atlanta Braves ⇄ Chicago CubsWilly Adames, DET ⇄ SEA ⇄ TBR, 2014Detroit Tigers ⇄ Seattle Mariners ⇄ Tampa Bay Rays

The web around this trade

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