January 19, 2021

Joe Musgrove and 6 others: New York MetsPittsburgh PiratesSan Diego Padres

A multi-team deal: each club is scored on what it received.

New York Mets

scored on what the club received

82far better

Franchise trade score82

Rest of season82WAR in+0.4WAR out0.0Net+0.4Net surplus$1.1M

Short term70WAR in+0.4WAR out0.0Net+0.4Net surplus$1.1M

Control window82WAR in+1.3WAR out+0.7Net+0.5Net surplus$1.5M

Full tenure81WAR in+1.3WAR out+0.7Net+0.5Net surplus$1.5M

Pittsburgh Pirates

scored on what the club received · provisional

97far better

Franchise trade score97

Rest of season97WAR in+1.6WAR out+3.1Net-1.4Net surplus−$9.4M

Short term96WAR in+3.0WAR out+6.5Net-3.5Net surplus−$28.3M

Control window97WAR in+7.0WAR out+6.5Net+0.4Net surplus−$7.2M

Full tenure96WAR in+7.0WAR out+10.3Net-3.3Net surplus−$5.2M

San Diego Padres

scored on what the club received

98far better

Franchise trade score98

Rest of season99WAR in+3.1WAR out+2.0Net+1.1Net surplus$8.3M

Short term99WAR in+6.5WAR out+3.4Net+3.1Net surplus$27.2M

Control window97WAR in+6.5WAR out+7.5Net-0.9Net surplus$5.7M

Full tenure97WAR in+10.3WAR out+7.5Net+2.8Net surplus$3.6M

New York Mets received

Joey LucchesiP · 28 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+1.3WAR (control) · 3 yr75

Rest of season84WAR+0.4FIP−81IP38Surplus$1.1M

Short term72WAR+0.4FIP−81IP38Surplus$1.1M

Control window77WAR+1.3FIP−94IP95Surplus$3.5M

Full tenure77WAR+1.3FIP−94IP95Surplus$3.5M

On the day: +2.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 68, salary $607K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Joey Lucchesi	pre-arb	$607K	$3.4M	+1.3	$2.7M	$3.5M
Total over the control window			$3.4M	+1.3	$2.7M	$3.5M

Pittsburgh Pirates received

Endy RodríguezC · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.7WAR (control) · 3 yr61

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Control window67WAR+0.7wRC+86PA420Surplus$2.0M

Full tenure66WAR+0.7wRC+86PA420Surplus$2.0M

Omar CruzP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for PIT

Drake Fellowsprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

David BednarP · 27 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+6.2WAR (control) · 5 yr94

Rest of season96WAR+1.6FIP−63IP61Surplus$8.3M

Short term94WAR+3.0FIP−62IP112Surplus$19.0M

Control window95WAR+6.2FIP−71IP275Surplus$38.1M

Full tenure94WAR+6.2FIP−71IP275Surplus$38.1M

On the day: -0.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 104, salary $579K.

Hudson Headprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Endy Rodríguez	prospect	est.	$1.9M	+0.7	$2.5M	$2.0M
Omar Cruz	prospect	est.	$0.0M	0.0	—	$0.0M
David Bednar	pre-arb	$579K	$12.0M	+6.2	$1.9M	$38.1M
Total over the control window			$13.9M	+7.0	$2.0M	$40.1M

San Diego Padres received

Joe MusgroveP · 29 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+6.5WAR (control) · 2 yr94

Rest of season95WAR+3.1FIP−88IP181Surplus$17.7M

Short term96WAR+6.5FIP−89IP362Surplus$47.2M

Control window93WAR+6.5FIP−89IP362Surplus$47.2M

Full tenure94WAR+10.3FIP−90IP559Surplus$45.2M

On the day: +4.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 76, salary $4.5M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Joe Musgrove	arb 2	$4.5M	$12.7M	+6.5	$1.9M	$47.2M
Total over the control window			$12.7M	+6.5	$1.9M	$47.2M

What this became

David Bednar → NYYDavid Bednar, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2025+2.6 WAR
Brian Sanchez → MIALake Bachar, MIA ⇄ PIT, 2026— WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

How the scores work