January 19, 2017

Luis Castillo and 3 others: Cincinnati RedsMiami Marlins

Cincinnati Reds got 16.7 WAR out of Luis Castillo over 6 seasons. Miami Marlins got 2.1 from the whole return.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season94WAR in+2.0WAR out+1.2Net+0.7Net surplus$8.7M
Short term93WAR in+3.4WAR out+2.1Net+1.3Net surplus$16.9M
Control window99WAR in+16.2WAR out+2.1Net+14.1Net surplus$105.9M
Full tenure99WAR in+16.2WAR out+2.1Net+14.1Net surplus$105.9M
Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season6WAR in+1.2WAR out+2.0Net-0.7Net surplus−$8.7M
Short term7WAR in+2.1WAR out+3.4Net-1.3Net surplus−$16.9M
Control window1WAR in+2.1WAR out+16.2Net-14.1Net surplus−$105.9M
Full tenure1WAR in+2.1WAR out+16.2Net-14.1Net surplus−$105.9M

Cincinnati Reds received

Luis CastilloP · 25 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+16.7WAR (control) · 6 yr95
Rest of season95WAR+2.1FIP−85IP89Surplus$18.4M
Short term92WAR+3.9FIP−97IP259Surplus$31.0M
Control window95WAR+16.7FIP−84IP792Surplus$119.9M
Full tenure95WAR+16.7FIP−84IP792Surplus$119.9M
Austin BriceP · 25 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.5WAR (control) · 2 yr10
Rest of season19WAR-0.1FIP−110IP33Surplus−$1.0M
Short term9WAR-0.5FIP−126IP70Surplus−$3.9M
Control window10WAR-0.5FIP−126IP70Surplus−$3.9M
Full tenure11WAR-0.5FIP−126IP70Surplus−$3.9M

On the day: -0.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 112, salary $535K.

Zeek WhiteWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Luis Castillopre-arbest.$13.9M+16.7$0.8M$119.9M
Austin Bricepre-arb$535K$1.0M-0.5−$3.9M
Total over the control window$14.9M+16.2$0.9M$116.0M

Miami Marlins received

Dan StrailyP · 29 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+2.1WAR (control) · 2 yr76
Rest of season86WAR+1.2FIP−109IP182Surplus$8.7M
Short term79WAR+2.1FIP−118IP304Surplus$10.1M
Control window75WAR+2.1FIP−118IP304Surplus$10.1M
Full tenure74WAR+2.1FIP−118IP304Surplus$10.1M

On the day: +2.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -91, FIP− 115, salary $552K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Dan Strailypre-arb$552K$3.9M+2.1$1.9M$10.1M
Total over the control window$3.9M+2.1$1.9M$10.1M

What this became

  1. Luis Castillo → SEALuis Castillo, CIN ⇄ SEA, 2022+4.4 WAR
  2. Andrew Moore → SDPCIN ⇄ SDP, 2025 WAR
  3. Luis Castillo → CHWCHW ⇄ SEA, 2026-0.4 WAR
  4. Andrew Moore → PITPIT ⇄ SDP, 2026 WAR

The web around this trade

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