July 29, 2010

Roy Oswalt and 3 others: Houston AstrosPhiladelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies came out ahead by 3.0 WAR, most of it from Roy Oswalt.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
12far worse
Franchise trade score12
Rest of season4WAR in+0.6WAR out+2.4Net-1.7Net surplus−$6.6M
Short term8WAR in+0.5WAR out+4.7Net-4.2Net surplus−$6.4M
Control window12WAR in+1.6WAR out+4.7Net-3.0Net surplus−$5.8M
Full tenure13WAR in+1.6WAR out+4.7Net-3.0Net surplus−$5.8M
Philadelphia Phillies
franchise trade score
88far better
Franchise trade score88
Rest of season96WAR in+2.4WAR out+0.6Net+1.7Net surplus$6.6M
Short term92WAR in+4.7WAR out+0.5Net+4.2Net surplus$6.4M
Control window88WAR in+4.7WAR out+1.6Net+3.0Net surplus$5.8M
Full tenure87WAR in+4.7WAR out+1.6Net+3.0Net surplus$5.8M

Houston Astros received

J. A. HappP · 28 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+1.0WAR (control) · 3 yr65
Rest of season83WAR+0.6FIP−103IP72Surplus$2.4M
Short term65WAR+0.5FIP−115IP228Surplus$1.3M
Control window66WAR+1.0FIP−114IP333Surplus$1.1M
Full tenure65WAR+1.0FIP−114IP333Surplus$1.1M

On the day: +3.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -53, FIP− 102, salary $470K.

Anthony GoseP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for HOU

Jonathan Villar2B · 19 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.7WAR (control) · 3 yr59
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window64WAR+0.7wRC+84PA658Surplus$0.8M
Full tenure64WAR+0.7wRC+84PA658Surplus$0.8M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
J. A. Happpre-arb$470K$3.0M+1.0$3.1M$1.1M
Anthony Goseprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Jonathan Villarprospectest.$2.4M+0.7$3.5M$0.8M
Total over the control window$5.4M+1.6$3.3M$1.9M

Philadelphia Phillies received

Roy OswaltP · 33 · signed (FA) · 3 yrs control+4.7WAR (control) · 2 yr91
Rest of season96WAR+2.4FIP−78IP83Surplus$9.0M
Short term93WAR+4.7FIP−84IP222Surplus$7.7M
Control window89WAR+4.7FIP−84IP222Surplus$7.7M
Full tenure89WAR+4.7FIP−84IP222Surplus$7.7M

On the day: +11.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -25, FIP− 88, salary $15.0M, signed through 2012.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Roy Oswaltsigned (FA) thru 2012$15.0M$22.3M+4.7$4.8M$7.7M
Total over the control window$22.3M+4.7$4.8M$7.7M

What this became

  1. J. A. Happ → TORJoe Musgrove, HOU ⇄ TOR, 2012+0.7 WAR
  2. Jonathan Villar → MILJonathan Villar, HOU ⇄ MIL, 2015+4.6 WAR
  3. Ben Francisco → TBRHOU ⇄ TBR, 2012-0.2 WAR
  4. David Carpenter → BOSBOS ⇄ TOR, 20120.0 WAR
  5. Carlos Pérez → LAANick Tropeano, HOU ⇄ LAA, 2014+0.9 WAR
  6. J. A. Happ → SEAJ. A. Happ, SEA ⇄ TOR, 2014+0.9 WAR
  7. Joe Musgrove → PITGerrit Cole, HOU ⇄ PIT, 2018+5.2 WAR
  8. Jonathan Villar → BALJonathan Villar, BAL ⇄ MIL, 2018+5.3 WAR
  9. Mike Aviles → CLEYan Gomes, CLE ⇄ TOR, 2012-0.7 WAR
  10. J. A. Happ → PITJ. A. Happ, PIT ⇄ SEA, 2015+2.1 WAR
  11. Carlos Pérez → ATLRyan Schimpf, ATL ⇄ LAA, 2018-0.3 WAR
  12. Jonathan Villar → MIABAL ⇄ MIA, 2019-0.3 WAR
  13. Joe Musgrove → SDPJoe Musgrove, NYM ⇄ PIT ⇄ SDP, 2021+6.5 WAR
  14. Yan Gomes → WSNYan Gomes, CLE ⇄ WSN, 2018+1.7 WAR
  15. Jonathan Villar → TORMIA ⇄ TOR, 2020-0.4 WAR
  16. David Bednar → NYYDavid Bednar, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2025+2.6 WAR

Also that day

MIA ⇄ TEX, 2010Miami Marlins ⇄ Texas RangersWilson Ramos, MIN ⇄ WSN, 2010Minnesota Twins ⇄ Washington NationalsMiguel Tejada, BAL ⇄ SDP, 2010Baltimore Orioles ⇄ San Diego PadresAnthony Gose, HOU ⇄ TOR, 2010Houston Astros ⇄ Toronto Blue Jays

The web around this trade

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