July 31, 2018

Jonathan Villar and 3 others: Baltimore OriolesMilwaukee Brewers

Baltimore Orioles came out ahead by 5.2 WAR, most of it from Jonathan Villar.

Baltimore Orioles
franchise trade score
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season97WAR in+1.2WAR out-0.2Net+1.4Net surplus$12.9M
Short term99WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.2Net+5.2Net surplus$41.1M
Control window96WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.2Net+5.2Net surplus$41.1M
Full tenure96WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.2Net+5.2Net surplus$41.1M
Milwaukee Brewers
franchise trade score
4far worse
Franchise trade score4
Rest of season3WAR in-0.2WAR out+1.2Net-1.4Net surplus−$12.9M
Short term1WAR in-0.2WAR out+5.0Net-5.2Net surplus−$41.1M
Control window4WAR in-0.2WAR out+5.0Net-5.2Net surplus−$41.1M
Full tenure4WAR in-0.2WAR out+5.0Net-5.2Net surplus−$41.1M

Baltimore Orioles received

Jonathan Villar2B · 27 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+5.3WAR (control) · 2 yr92
Rest of season90WAR+1.4wRC+102PA236Surplus$9.6M
Short term94WAR+5.3wRC+106PA950Surplus$39.2M
Control window91WAR+5.3wRC+106PA950Surplus$39.2M
Full tenure90WAR+5.3wRC+106PA950Surplus$39.2M

On the day: +4.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 72, salary $2.5M.

Luis OrtizP · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr14
Rest of season12WAR-0.2FIP−159IP2Surplus−$1.2M
Short term13WAR-0.3FIP−231IP6Surplus−$2.6M
Control window15WAR-0.3FIP−231IP6Surplus−$2.6M
Full tenure15WAR-0.3FIP−231IP6Surplus−$2.6M

too little playing time to rate quality

Jean Carmona—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jonathan Villararb 1$2.5M$5.9M+5.3$1.1M$39.2M
Luis Ortizpre-arbest.$0.9M-0.3—−$2.6M
Total over the control window$6.8M+5.0$1.4M$36.6M

Milwaukee Brewers received

Jonathan Schoop2B · 27 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr15
Rest of season9WAR-0.2wRC+51PA134Surplus−$4.5M
Short term14WAR-0.2wRC+51PA134Surplus−$4.5M
Control window16WAR-0.2wRC+51PA134Surplus−$4.5M
Full tenure16WAR-0.2wRC+51PA134Surplus−$4.5M

On the day: +11.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 120, salary $8.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jonathan Schooparb 2$8.5M$3.5M-0.2—−$4.5M
Total over the control window$3.5M-0.2—−$4.5M

What this became

  1. Jonathan Villar → MIABAL ⇄ MIA, 2019-0.3 WAR
  2. Jonathan Villar → TORMIA ⇄ TOR, 2020-0.4 WAR

Also that day

ARI ⇄ TEX, 2018Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Texas RangersLAD ⇄ TOR, 2018Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysMIA ⇄ SEA, 2018Miami Marlins ⇄ Seattle MarinersJacob Waguespack, PHI ⇄ TOR, 2018Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysWilson Ramos, PHI ⇄ TBR, 2018Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysBrad Ziegler, ARI ⇄ MIA, 2018Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Miami MarlinsWilli Castro, CLE ⇄ DET, 2018Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Detroit TigersÓscar Mercado, CLE ⇄ STL, 2018Cleveland Guardians ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsTommy Pham, STL ⇄ TBR, 2018St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKeone Kela, PIT ⇄ TEX, 2018Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Texas RangersDevin Smeltzer, LAD ⇄ MIN, 2018Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Minnesota TwinsTyler Glasnow, PIT ⇄ TBR, 2018Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKevin Gausman, ATL ⇄ BAL, 2018Atlanta Braves ⇄ Baltimore OriolesBrandon Kintzler, CHC ⇄ WSN, 2018Chicago Cubs ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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