July 31, 2018

Devin Smeltzer and 3 others: Los Angeles DodgersMinnesota Twins

Devin Smeltzer stayed 4 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Los Angeles Dodgers
franchise trade score
16far worse
Franchise trade score16
Rest of season21WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.3Net-0.2Net surplus−$1.0M
Short term17WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.9Net-0.8Net surplus−$3.9M
Control window16WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.4Net-1.3Net surplus−$4.4M
Full tenure17WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.4Net-1.3Net surplus−$4.4M

LAD reached the World Series in 2018

Minnesota Twins
franchise trade score
84far better
Franchise trade score84
Rest of season79WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.1Net+0.2Net surplus$1.0M
Short term83WAR in+0.9WAR out+0.1Net+0.8Net surplus$3.9M
Control window84WAR in+1.4WAR out+0.1Net+1.3Net surplus$4.4M
Full tenure83WAR in+1.4WAR out+0.1Net+1.3Net surplus$4.4M

Los Angeles Dodgers received

Brian Dozier2B · 31 · signed · 1 yr control+0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr40
Rest of season50WAR+0.1wRC+83PA170Surplus−$3.2M
Short term41WAR+0.1wRC+83PA170Surplus−$3.2M
Control window39WAR+0.1wRC+83PA170Surplus−$3.2M
Full tenure40WAR+0.1wRC+83PA170Surplus−$3.2M

On the day: +15.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 126, salary $9.0M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Brian Doziersigned$9.0M$3.8M+0.1—−$3.2M
Total over the control window$3.8M+0.1—−$3.2M

Minnesota Twins received

Logan Forsythe2B · 31 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr46
Rest of season55WAR+0.3wRC+86PA205Surplus−$2.2M
Short term46WAR+0.3wRC+86PA205Surplus−$2.2M
Control window45WAR+0.3wRC+86PA205Surplus−$2.2M
Full tenure46WAR+0.3wRC+86PA205Surplus−$2.2M

On the day: +7.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 90, salary $9.0M.

Luke RaleyRF · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for MIN

Devin SmeltzerP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.1WAR (control) · 4 yr70
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term73WAR+0.7FIP−100IP49Surplus$2.9M
Control window70WAR+1.1FIP−116IP140Surplus$3.3M
Full tenure69WAR+1.1FIP−116IP140Surplus$3.3M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Logan Forsythesigned (FA)$9.0M$3.8M+0.3—−$2.2M
Luke Raleyprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Devin Smeltzerprospectest.$2.6M+1.1$2.3M$3.3M
Total over the control window$6.3M+1.4$4.6M$1.2M

What this became

  1. Luke Raley → LADKenta Maeda, LAD ⇄ MIN, 2020-0.4 WAR
  2. Luke Raley → TBRLuke Raley, LAD ⇄ TBR, 2022+2.5 WAR
  3. Luke Raley → SEAJosé Caballero, SEA ⇄ TBR, 2024+2.7 WAR
  4. José Caballero → NYYJosé Caballero, NYY ⇄ TBR, 2025+2.9 WAR

Also that day

ARI ⇄ TEX, 2018Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Texas RangersJonathan Villar, BAL ⇄ MIL, 2018Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersLAD ⇄ TOR, 2018Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysMIA ⇄ SEA, 2018Miami Marlins ⇄ Seattle MarinersJacob Waguespack, PHI ⇄ TOR, 2018Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysWilson Ramos, PHI ⇄ TBR, 2018Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysBrad Ziegler, ARI ⇄ MIA, 2018Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Miami MarlinsWilli Castro, CLE ⇄ DET, 2018Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Detroit TigersÓscar Mercado, CLE ⇄ STL, 2018Cleveland Guardians ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsTommy Pham, STL ⇄ TBR, 2018St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKeone Kela, PIT ⇄ TEX, 2018Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Texas RangersTyler Glasnow, PIT ⇄ TBR, 2018Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKevin Gausman, ATL ⇄ BAL, 2018Atlanta Braves ⇄ Baltimore OriolesBrandon Kintzler, CHC ⇄ WSN, 2018Chicago Cubs ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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