July 20, 2012

Joe Musgrove and 9 others: Houston AstrosToronto Blue Jays

9 pieces changed hands and the ledger barely moved.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
14far worse
Franchise trade score14
Rest of season3WAR in-1.1WAR out+1.0Net-2.1Net surplus−$7.5M
Short term9WAR in-1.1WAR out+1.5Net-2.6Net surplus−$6.3M
Control window16WAR in-0.1WAR out+1.0Net-1.1Net surplus−$5.1M
Full tenure13WAR in-0.1WAR out+2.7Net-2.8Net surplus−$5.7M

HOU won the World Series in 2017

Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
86far better
Franchise trade score86
Rest of season97WAR in+1.0WAR out-1.1Net+2.1Net surplus$7.5M
Short term91WAR in+1.5WAR out-1.1Net+2.6Net surplus$6.3M
Control window84WAR in+1.0WAR out-0.1Net+1.1Net surplus$5.1M
Full tenure87WAR in+2.7WAR out-0.1Net+2.8Net surplus$5.7M

Houston Astros received

Ben FranciscoLF · 31 · arb 3 · 1 yr control-0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr12
Rest of season6WAR-0.4wRC+77PA90Surplus−$2.4M
Short term11WAR-0.4wRC+77PA90Surplus−$2.4M
Control window12WAR-0.4wRC+77PA90Surplus−$2.4M
Full tenure13WAR-0.4wRC+77PA90Surplus−$2.4M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 97, salary $1.5M.

Francisco CorderoP · 37 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr6
Rest of season3WAR-0.6FIP−233IP5Surplus−$4.5M
Short term6WAR-0.6FIP−233IP5Surplus−$4.5M
Control window7WAR-0.6FIP−233IP5Surplus−$4.5M
Full tenure7WAR-0.6FIP−233IP5Surplus−$4.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +2.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 102, salary $4.5M.

Asher WojciechowskiP · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr29
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window25WAR-0.1FIP−101IP16Surplus−$1.0M
Full tenure26WAR-0.1FIP−101IP16Surplus−$1.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

Carlos PérezC · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for HOU

David RollinsP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for HOU

Joe MusgroveP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.1WAR (control) · 2 yr68
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window74WAR+1.1FIP−101IP171Surplus$3.4M
Full tenure74WAR+1.1FIP−101IP171Surplus$3.4M
Kevin ComerWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ben Franciscoarb 3$1.5M$0.6M-0.4−$2.4M
Francisco Corderosigned (FA)$4.5M$1.9M-0.6−$4.5M
Asher Wojciechowskiprospectest.$0.5M-0.1−$1.0M
Carlos Pérezprospectest.$0.0M0.0$0.0M
David Rollinsprospectest.$0.0M0.0$0.0M
Joe Musgroveprospectest.$1.1M+1.1$1.0M$3.4M
Total over the control window$4.2M-0.1−$4.5M

Toronto Blue Jays received

J. A. HappP · 30 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.7WAR (control) · 1 yr78
Rest of season90WAR+0.7FIP−66IP40Surplus$1.9M
Short term77WAR+1.3FIP−95IP133Surplus$0.7M
Control window75WAR+0.7FIP−66IP40Surplus$1.9M
Full tenure78WAR+2.4FIP−104IP291Surplus$2.5M

On the day: +2.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 29, FIP− 120, salary $2.4M.

David CarpenterP · 27 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr21
Rest of season12WAR-0.2FIP−198IP3Surplus−$1.1M
Short term20WAR-0.2FIP−198IP3Surplus−$1.1M
Control window22WAR-0.2FIP−198IP3Surplus−$1.1M
Full tenure23WAR-0.2FIP−198IP3Surplus−$1.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 107, salary $485K.

Brandon LyonP · 33 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr58
Rest of season66WAR+0.5FIP−73IP25Surplus−$0.3M
Short term59WAR+0.5FIP−73IP25Surplus−$0.3M
Control window58WAR+0.5FIP−73IP25Surplus−$0.3M
Full tenure58WAR+0.5FIP−73IP25Surplus−$0.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +1.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 751, FIP− 184, salary $5.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
J. A. Happarb 3$2.4M$1.0M+0.7$1.4M$1.9M
David Carpenterpre-arb$485K$0.2M-0.2−$1.1M
Brandon Lyonsigned (FA)$5.5M$2.3M+0.5−$0.3M
Total over the control window$3.5M+1.0$3.5M$0.6M

What this became

  1. Ben Francisco → TBRHOU ⇄ TBR, 2012-0.2 WAR
  2. David Carpenter → BOSBOS ⇄ TOR, 20120.0 WAR
  3. Carlos Pérez → LAANick Tropeano, HOU ⇄ LAA, 2014+0.9 WAR
  4. J. A. Happ → SEAJ. A. Happ, SEA ⇄ TOR, 2014+0.9 WAR
  5. Joe Musgrove → PITGerrit Cole, HOU ⇄ PIT, 2018+5.2 WAR
  6. Mike Aviles → CLEYan Gomes, CLE ⇄ TOR, 2012-0.7 WAR
  7. J. A. Happ → PITJ. A. Happ, PIT ⇄ SEA, 2015+2.1 WAR
  8. Carlos Pérez → ATLRyan Schimpf, ATL ⇄ LAA, 2018-0.3 WAR
  9. Joe Musgrove → SDPJoe Musgrove, NYM ⇄ PIT ⇄ SDP, 2021+6.5 WAR
  10. Yan Gomes → WSNYan Gomes, CLE ⇄ WSN, 2018+1.7 WAR
  11. David Bednar → NYYDavid Bednar, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2025+2.6 WAR
  12. Yan Gomes → OAKDrew Millas, OAK ⇄ WSN, 2021+0.3 WAR
  13. Daniel Johnson → NYMCLE ⇄ NYM, 20220.0 WAR
  14. Brian Sanchez → MIALake Bachar, MIA ⇄ PIT, 2026 WAR

Also that day

Jeremy Guthrie, COL ⇄ KCR, 2012Colorado Rockies ⇄ Kansas City Royals

The web around this trade

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