July 29, 2009

Carlos Carrasco and 5 others: Cleveland GuardiansPhiladelphia Phillies

Cleveland Guardians came out ahead by 6.8 WAR, most of it from Carlos Carrasco.

Cleveland Guardians
franchise trade score
93far better
Franchise trade score93
Rest of season2WAR in-0.5WAR out+2.2Net-2.7Net surplus−$9.7M
Short term7WAR in+0.2WAR out+2.6Net-2.4Net surplus−$9.5M
Control window97WAR in+8.9WAR out+2.1Net+6.8Net surplus$42.0M
Full tenure99WAR in+23.5WAR out+2.1Net+21.4Net surplus$102.9M
Philadelphia Phillies
franchise trade score
7far worse
Franchise trade score7
Rest of season98WAR in+2.2WAR out-0.5Net+2.7Net surplus$9.7M
Short term93WAR in+2.6WAR out+0.2Net+2.4Net surplus$9.5M
Control window3WAR in+2.1WAR out+8.9Net-6.8Net surplus−$42.0M
Full tenure1WAR in+2.1WAR out+23.5Net-21.4Net surplus−$102.9M

PHI reached the World Series in 2009

Cleveland Guardians received

Carlos CarrascoP · 22 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+8.9WAR (control) · 6 yr87
Rest of season5WAR-0.5FIP−162IP22Surplus−$2.2M
Short term45WAR+0.1FIP−121IP67Surplus−$0.4M
Control window95WAR+8.9FIP−86IP556Surplus$50.9M
Full tenure98WAR+23.5FIP−82IP1242Surplus$111.8M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $400K.

Lou MarsonC · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 5 yr7
Rest of season74WAR+0.1wRC+96PA52Surplus$0.0M
Short term13WAR-0.4wRC+63PA346Surplus−$1.9M
Control window5WAR-1.0wRC+72PA858Surplus−$5.5M
Full tenure6WAR-1.0wRC+72PA858Surplus−$5.5M

On the day: +0.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 359, salary $400K.

Jason Knapp—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Jason DonaldSS · 25 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.0WAR (control) · 3 yr68
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term67WAR+0.5wRC+90PA325Surplus$1.5M
Control window69WAR+1.0wRC+86PA603Surplus$2.5M
Full tenure69WAR+1.0wRC+86PA603Surplus$2.5M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Carlos Carrascopre-arb$400K$4.4M+8.9$0.5M$50.9M
Lou Marsonpre-arb$400K$2.5M-1.0—−$5.5M
Jason Donaldprospectest.$1.3M+1.0$1.3M$2.5M
Total over the control window$8.2M+8.9$0.9M$47.9M

Philadelphia Phillies received

Cliff LeeP · 31 · signed · 2 yrs control+1.8WAR (control) · 1 yr85
Rest of season96WAR+1.8FIP−66IP80Surplus$6.3M
Short term88WAR+1.8FIP−66IP80Surplus$6.3M
Control window84WAR+1.8FIP−66IP80Surplus$6.3M
Full tenure83WAR+1.8FIP−66IP80Surplus$6.3M

On the day: +9.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 67, salary $6.0M, signed through 2010.

Ben FranciscoLF · 28 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 3 yr59
Rest of season84WAR+0.4wRC+117PA104Surplus$1.3M
Short term77WAR+0.8wRC+110PA301Surplus$2.4M
Control window56WAR+0.3wRC+103PA594Surplus−$0.4M
Full tenure57WAR+0.3wRC+103PA594Surplus−$0.4M

On the day: +3.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 106, salary $421K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Cliff Leesigned thru 2010$6.0M$2.5M+1.8$1.4M$6.3M
Ben Franciscopre-arb$421K$1.8M+0.3—−$0.4M
Total over the control window$4.3M+2.1$2.1M$5.9M

What this became

  1. Cliff Lee → SEACliff Lee, PHI ⇄ SEA, 2009+3.8 WAR
  2. Ben Francisco → TORPHI ⇄ TOR, 2011-0.1 WAR
  3. Jason Donald → CINTrevor Bauer, ARI ⇄ CIN ⇄ CLE, 20120.0 WAR
  4. Cliff Lee → TEXCliff Lee, SEA ⇄ TEX, 2010+2.4 WAR
  5. Ben Francisco → HOUJoe Musgrove, HOU ⇄ TOR, 2012-0.4 WAR
  6. Drew Stubbs → COLDrew Stubbs, CLE ⇄ COL, 2013+2.5 WAR
  7. Didi Gregorius → NYYDidi Gregorius, ARI ⇄ DET ⇄ NYY, 2014+13.0 WAR
  8. Trevor Bauer → CINFranmil Reyes, CIN ⇄ CLE ⇄ SDP, 2019+0.2 WAR
  9. Josh Lueke → TBRJohn Jaso, SEA ⇄ TBR, 2011-0.7 WAR
  10. Ben Francisco → TBRHOU ⇄ TBR, 2012-0.2 WAR
  11. David Carpenter → BOSBOS ⇄ TOR, 20120.0 WAR
  12. Josh Outman → NYYJosh Outman, CLE ⇄ NYY, 2014+0.2 WAR
  13. Carlos Pérez → LAANick Tropeano, HOU ⇄ LAA, 2014+0.9 WAR
  14. J. A. Happ → SEAJ. A. Happ, SEA ⇄ TOR, 2014+0.9 WAR
  15. Joe Musgrove → PITGerrit Cole, HOU ⇄ PIT, 2018+5.2 WAR
  16. Shane Greene → ATLShane Greene, ATL ⇄ DET, 2019+1.0 WAR
  17. Taylor Trammell → SEATy France, SDP ⇄ SEA, 2020+0.0 WAR
  18. Robbie Ray → TORRobbie Ray, ARI ⇄ TOR, 2020+0.2 WAR
  19. Mike Aviles → CLEYan Gomes, CLE ⇄ TOR, 2012-0.7 WAR
  20. John Jaso → OAKBlake Treinen, OAK ⇄ SEA ⇄ WSN, 2013+2.1 WAR
  21. J. A. Happ → PITJ. A. Happ, PIT ⇄ SEA, 2015+2.1 WAR
  22. Carlos Pérez → ATLRyan Schimpf, ATL ⇄ LAA, 2018-0.3 WAR
  23. Joe Musgrove → SDPJoe Musgrove, NYM ⇄ PIT ⇄ SDP, 2021+6.5 WAR
  24. Travis Bergen → TORTravis Bergen, ARI ⇄ TOR, 2021+0.2 WAR
  25. Ty France → CINCIN ⇄ SEA, 2024-0.4 WAR

Also that day

Jack Wilson, PIT ⇄ SEA, 2009Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Seattle MarinersWladimir Balentien, CIN ⇄ SEA, 2009Cincinnati Reds ⇄ Seattle MarinersFreddy Sanchez, PIT ⇄ SFG, 2009Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ San Francisco Giants

The web around this trade

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