July 30, 2021

Adam Duvall and 1 others: Atlanta BravesMiami Marlins

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Atlanta Braves
franchise trade score
73better
Franchise trade score73
Rest of season96WAR in+1.2WAR out-0.2Net+1.4Net surplus$6.9M
Short term75WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.2Net+1.8Net surplus$0.8M
Control window73WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.2Net+1.8Net surplus$0.8M
Full tenure72WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.2Net+1.8Net surplus$0.8M

ATL won the World Series in 2021

Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
27worse
Franchise trade score27
Rest of season4WAR in-0.2WAR out+1.2Net-1.4Net surplus−$6.9M
Short term25WAR in-0.2WAR out+1.6Net-1.8Net surplus−$0.8M
Control window27WAR in-0.2WAR out+1.6Net-1.8Net surplus−$0.8M
Full tenure28WAR in-0.2WAR out+1.6Net-1.8Net surplus−$0.8M

Atlanta Braves received

Adam DuvallLF · 33 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+1.6WAR (control) · 2 yr66
Rest of season90WAR+1.2wRC+107PA216Surplus$5.7M
Short term66WAR+1.6wRC+96PA531Surplus−$0.5M
Control window65WAR+1.6wRC+96PA531Surplus−$0.5M
Full tenure64WAR+1.6wRC+96PA531Surplus−$0.5M

On the day: +2.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 115, salary $2.0M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Adam Duvallarb 2$2.0M$10.1M+1.6$6.3M−$0.5M
Total over the control window$10.1M+1.6$6.3M−$0.5M

Miami Marlins received

Alex JacksonC · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr18
Rest of season10WAR-0.2wRC+51PA123Surplus−$1.2M
Short term17WAR-0.2wRC+51PA123Surplus−$1.2M
Control window18WAR-0.2wRC+51PA123Surplus−$1.2M
Full tenure19WAR-0.2wRC+51PA123Surplus−$1.2M

On the day: -0.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 85, salary $581K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Alex Jacksonpre-arb$581K$0.2M-0.2—−$1.2M
Total over the control window$0.2M-0.2—−$1.2M

What this became

  1. Alex Jackson → MILMIA ⇄ MIL, 2022-0.0 WAR
  2. Alex Jackson → TBRMIL ⇄ TBR, 2023-0.3 WAR
  3. Evan McKendry → CHWCHW ⇄ MIL, 2025— WAR

Also that day

SDP ⇄ WSN, 2021San Diego Padres ⇄ Washington NationalsBAL ⇄ TBR, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysPHI ⇄ PIT, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesSimeon Woods Richardson, MIN ⇄ TOR, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysEddie Rosario, ATL ⇄ CLE, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Cleveland GuardiansReese Olson, DET ⇄ MIL, 2021Detroit Tigers ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersNick Madrigal, CHC ⇄ CHW, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ Chicago White SoxJ. A. Happ, MIN ⇄ STL, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsTrea Turner, LAD ⇄ WSN, 2021Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Washington NationalsDrew Millas, OAK ⇄ WSN, 2021Athletics ⇄ Washington NationalsYainer Diaz, CLE ⇄ HOU, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Houston AstrosMIA ⇄ MIL, 2021Miami Marlins ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersPete Crow-Armstrong, CHC ⇄ NYM, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ New York MetsLane Thomas, STL ⇄ WSN, 2021St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Washington NationalsJorge Soler, ATL ⇄ KCR, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsRichard Rodríguez, ATL ⇄ PIT, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesHansel Robles, BOS ⇄ MIN, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Minnesota TwinsARI ⇄ TOR, 2021Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysAustin Davis, BOS ⇄ PIT, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesJordan Luplow, CLE ⇄ TBR, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKyle Gibson, PHI ⇄ TEX, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Texas RangersFreddy Galvis, BAL ⇄ PHI, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesCHC ⇄ SDP, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ San Diego PadresKris Bryant, CHC ⇄ SFG, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ San Francisco GiantsTony Watson, LAA ⇄ SFG, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ San Francisco GiantsLAA ⇄ NYY, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ New York Yankees

The web around this trade

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