July 30, 2021

Kris Bryant and 2 others: Chicago CubsSan Francisco Giants

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
43even
Franchise trade score43
Rest of season65WAR in0.0WAR out+0.7Net-0.7Net surplus$5.1M
Short term58WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.7Net-1.0Net surplus$2.5M
Control window43WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.7Net-1.1Net surplus$0.1M
Full tenure44WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.7Net-1.1Net surplus$0.1M
San Francisco Giants
franchise trade score
57even
Franchise trade score57
Rest of season35WAR in+0.7WAR out0.0Net+0.7Net surplus−$5.1M
Short term42WAR in+0.7WAR out-0.3Net+1.0Net surplus−$2.5M
Control window57WAR in+0.7WAR out-0.3Net+1.1Net surplus−$0.1M
Full tenure56WAR in+0.7WAR out-0.3Net+1.1Net surplus−$0.1M

Chicago Cubs received

Caleb KilianP · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.6WAR (control) · 3 yr9
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term13WAR-0.3FIP−127IP11Surplus−$2.6M
Control window7WAR-0.6FIP−132IP27Surplus−$5.3M
Full tenure8WAR-0.6FIP−132IP27Surplus−$5.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

Alexander CanarioLF · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr58
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window62WAR+0.3wRC+135PA45Surplus$0.3M
Full tenure62WAR+0.3wRC+135PA45Surplus$0.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Caleb Kilianprospectest.$2.2M-0.6—−$5.3M
Alexander Canarioprospectest.$1.5M+0.3—$0.3M
Total over the control window$3.6M-0.3—−$5.0M

San Francisco Giants received

Kris BryantDH · 29 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.7WAR (control) · 1 yr56
Rest of season65WAR+0.7wRC+113PA212Surplus−$5.1M
Short term57WAR+0.7wRC+113PA212Surplus−$5.1M
Control window56WAR+0.7wRC+113PA212Surplus−$5.1M
Full tenure55WAR+0.7wRC+113PA212Surplus−$5.1M

On the day: +6.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 77, salary $19.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Kris Bryantarb 3$19.5M$8.1M+0.7$11.0M−$5.1M
Total over the control window$8.1M+0.7$11.0M−$5.1M

What this became

  1. Alexander Canario → NYMCHC ⇄ NYM, 20250.0 WAR
  2. Alexander Canario → PITNYM ⇄ PIT, 2025-0.0 WAR

Also that day

SDP ⇄ WSN, 2021San Diego Padres ⇄ Washington NationalsBAL ⇄ TBR, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysPHI ⇄ PIT, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesSimeon Woods Richardson, MIN ⇄ TOR, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysEddie Rosario, ATL ⇄ CLE, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Cleveland GuardiansAdam Duvall, ATL ⇄ MIA, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Miami MarlinsReese Olson, DET ⇄ MIL, 2021Detroit Tigers ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersNick Madrigal, CHC ⇄ CHW, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ Chicago White SoxJ. A. Happ, MIN ⇄ STL, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsTrea Turner, LAD ⇄ WSN, 2021Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Washington NationalsDrew Millas, OAK ⇄ WSN, 2021Athletics ⇄ Washington NationalsYainer Diaz, CLE ⇄ HOU, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Houston AstrosMIA ⇄ MIL, 2021Miami Marlins ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersPete Crow-Armstrong, CHC ⇄ NYM, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ New York MetsLane Thomas, STL ⇄ WSN, 2021St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Washington NationalsJorge Soler, ATL ⇄ KCR, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsRichard Rodríguez, ATL ⇄ PIT, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesHansel Robles, BOS ⇄ MIN, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Minnesota TwinsARI ⇄ TOR, 2021Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysAustin Davis, BOS ⇄ PIT, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesJordan Luplow, CLE ⇄ TBR, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKyle Gibson, PHI ⇄ TEX, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Texas RangersFreddy Galvis, BAL ⇄ PHI, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesCHC ⇄ SDP, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ San Diego PadresTony Watson, LAA ⇄ SFG, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ San Francisco GiantsLAA ⇄ NYY, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ New York Yankees

The web around this trade

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