July 30, 2021

Lane Thomas and 1 others: St. Louis CardinalsWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals came out ahead by 6.3 WAR, most of it from Lane Thomas.

St. Louis Cardinals
franchise trade score
3far worse
Franchise trade score3
Rest of season5WAR in+0.2WAR out+1.3Net-1.1Net surplus−$7.8M
Short term5WAR in+0.2WAR out+2.7Net-2.5Net surplus−$19.4M
Control window3WAR in+0.2WAR out+6.4Net-6.3Net surplus−$47.9M
Full tenure4WAR in+0.2WAR out+6.4Net-6.3Net surplus−$47.9M
Washington Nationals
franchise trade score
97far better
Franchise trade score97
Rest of season95WAR in+1.3WAR out+0.2Net+1.1Net surplus$7.8M
Short term95WAR in+2.7WAR out+0.2Net+2.5Net surplus$19.4M
Control window97WAR in+6.4WAR out+0.2Net+6.3Net surplus$47.9M
Full tenure96WAR in+6.4WAR out+0.2Net+6.3Net surplus$47.9M

St. Louis Cardinals received

Jon LesterP · 37 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr43
Rest of season51WAR+0.2FIP−130IP66Surplus−$1.4M
Short term43WAR+0.2FIP−130IP66Surplus−$1.4M
Control window42WAR+0.2FIP−130IP66Surplus−$1.4M
Full tenure42WAR+0.2FIP−130IP66Surplus−$1.4M

On the day: +3.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 117, salary $5.0M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jon Lestersigned (FA)$5.0M$2.1M+0.2—−$1.4M
Total over the control window$2.1M+0.2—−$1.4M

Washington Nationals received

Lane ThomasCF · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+6.4WAR (control) · 4 yr91
Rest of season94WAR+1.3wRC+128PA206Surplus$6.5M
Short term89WAR+2.7wRC+106PA754Surplus$18.0M
Control window92WAR+6.4wRC+107PA1777Surplus$46.6M
Full tenure91WAR+6.4wRC+107PA1777Surplus$46.6M

On the day: +0.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 25.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Lane Thomaspre-arbest.$5.4M+6.4$0.8M$46.6M
Total over the control window$5.4M+6.4$0.8M$46.6M

What this became

  1. Lane Thomas → CLEJosé Tena, CLE ⇄ WSN, 2024-0.5 WAR

Also that day

SDP ⇄ WSN, 2021San Diego Padres ⇄ Washington NationalsBAL ⇄ TBR, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysPHI ⇄ PIT, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesSimeon Woods Richardson, MIN ⇄ TOR, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysEddie Rosario, ATL ⇄ CLE, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Cleveland GuardiansAdam Duvall, ATL ⇄ MIA, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Miami MarlinsReese Olson, DET ⇄ MIL, 2021Detroit Tigers ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersNick Madrigal, CHC ⇄ CHW, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ Chicago White SoxJ. A. Happ, MIN ⇄ STL, 2021Minnesota Twins ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsTrea Turner, LAD ⇄ WSN, 2021Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Washington NationalsDrew Millas, OAK ⇄ WSN, 2021Athletics ⇄ Washington NationalsYainer Diaz, CLE ⇄ HOU, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Houston AstrosMIA ⇄ MIL, 2021Miami Marlins ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersPete Crow-Armstrong, CHC ⇄ NYM, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ New York MetsJorge Soler, ATL ⇄ KCR, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsRichard Rodríguez, ATL ⇄ PIT, 2021Atlanta Braves ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesHansel Robles, BOS ⇄ MIN, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Minnesota TwinsARI ⇄ TOR, 2021Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysAustin Davis, BOS ⇄ PIT, 2021Boston Red Sox ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesJordan Luplow, CLE ⇄ TBR, 2021Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysKyle Gibson, PHI ⇄ TEX, 2021Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Texas RangersFreddy Galvis, BAL ⇄ PHI, 2021Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesCHC ⇄ SDP, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ San Diego PadresKris Bryant, CHC ⇄ SFG, 2021Chicago Cubs ⇄ San Francisco GiantsTony Watson, LAA ⇄ SFG, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ San Francisco GiantsLAA ⇄ NYY, 2021Los Angeles Angels ⇄ New York Yankees

The web around this trade

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