July 30, 2018

Lucas Sims and 3 others: Atlanta BravesCincinnati Reds

Lucas Sims stayed 6 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Atlanta Braves

franchise trade score

13far worse

Franchise trade score13

Rest of season14WAR in-0.6WAR out-0.1Net-0.4Net surplus−$2.0M

Short term34WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.3Net+0.0Net surplus−$1.9M

Control window11WAR in+1.2WAR out+2.8Net-1.6Net surplus−$9.0M

Full tenure12WAR in+1.2WAR out+3.2Net-2.0Net surplus−$8.9M

ATL won the World Series in 2021

Cincinnati Reds

franchise trade score

87far better

Franchise trade score87

Rest of season86WAR in-0.1WAR out-0.6Net+0.4Net surplus$2.0M

Short term66WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.3Net-0.0Net surplus$1.9M

Control window89WAR in+2.8WAR out+1.2Net+1.6Net surplus$9.0M

Full tenure88WAR in+3.2WAR out+1.2Net+2.0Net surplus$8.9M

Atlanta Braves received

Adam DuvallLF · 30 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+1.2WAR (control) · 3 yr69

Rest of season3WAR-0.6wRC+-7PA57Surplus−$3.6M

Short term45WAR+0.3wRC+81PA187Surplus−$2.0M

Control window72WAR+1.2wRC+99PA396Surplus$0.5M

Full tenure71WAR+1.2wRC+99PA396Surplus$0.5M

On the day: +6.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 96, salary $645K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Adam Duvall	pre-arb	$645K	$6.4M	+1.2	$5.5M	$0.5M
Total over the control window			$6.4M	+1.2	$5.5M	$0.5M

Cincinnati Reds received

Lucas SimsP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+2.8WAR (control) · 6 yr82

Rest of season14WAR-0.1FIP−161IP5Surplus−$1.0M

Short term64WAR+0.3FIP−104IP48Surplus$0.5M

Control window86WAR+2.8FIP−89IP189Surplus$10.2M

Full tenure85WAR+3.2FIP−93IP224Surplus$10.0M

On the day: -0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -79, FIP− 118.

Matt WislerP · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr63

Rest of season80WAR+0.2FIP−94IP13Surplus$0.9M

Short term65WAR+0.2FIP−94IP13Surplus$0.9M

Control window62WAR+0.2FIP−94IP13Surplus$0.9M

Full tenure62WAR+0.2FIP−94IP13Surplus$0.9M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 121.

Preston TuckerLF · 28 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr19

Rest of season10WAR-0.2wRC+79PA42Surplus−$1.5M

Short term18WAR-0.2wRC+79PA42Surplus−$1.5M

Control window20WAR-0.2wRC+79PA42Surplus−$1.5M

Full tenure21WAR-0.2wRC+79PA42Surplus−$1.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -1.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, salary $565K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Lucas Sims	pre-arb	est.	$4.5M	+2.8	$1.6M	$10.2M
Matt Wisler	pre-arb	est.	$0.3M	+0.2	—	$0.9M
Preston Tucker	pre-arb	$565K	$0.2M	-0.2	—	−$1.5M
Total over the control window			$5.0M	+2.8	$1.8M	$9.6M

What this became

Matt Wisler → SDPMatt Wisler, CIN ⇄ SDP, 2019+0.0 WAR
Lucas Sims → BOSBOS ⇄ CIN, 2024-0.3 WAR

Also that day

Brad Brach, ATL ⇄ BAL, 2018Atlanta Braves ⇄ Baltimore Orioles Lance Lynn, MIN ⇄ NYY, 2018Minnesota Twins ⇄ New York Yankees Adam Warren, NYY ⇄ SEA, 2018New York Yankees ⇄ Seattle Mariners Zach Duke, MIN ⇄ SEA, 2018Minnesota Twins ⇄ Seattle Mariners Ty Buttrey, BOS ⇄ LAA, 2018Boston Red Sox ⇄ Los Angeles Angels Roberto Osuna, HOU ⇄ TOR, 2018Houston Astros ⇄ Toronto Blue Jays

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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