July 30, 2018

Roberto Osuna and 3 others: Houston AstrosToronto Blue Jays

Roberto Osuna stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
68better
Franchise trade score68
Rest of season90WAR in+0.7WAR out+0.1Net+0.6Net surplus$3.5M
Short term37WAR in+2.4WAR out+2.2Net+0.2Net surplus−$2.4M
Control window68WAR in+2.7WAR out+1.9Net+0.7Net surplus$0.6M
Full tenure68WAR in+2.7WAR out+1.9Net+0.7Net surplus$0.6M

HOU reached the World Series in 2019

Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
32worse
Franchise trade score32
Rest of season10WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.7Net-0.6Net surplus−$3.5M
Short term63WAR in+2.2WAR out+2.4Net-0.2Net surplus$2.4M
Control window32WAR in+1.9WAR out+2.7Net-0.7Net surplus−$0.6M
Full tenure32WAR in+1.9WAR out+2.7Net-0.7Net surplus−$0.6M

Houston Astros received

Roberto OsunaP · 23 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+2.7WAR (control) · 3 yr83
Rest of season88WAR+0.7FIP−66IP23Surplus$1.8M
Short term90WAR+2.4FIP−70IP88Surplus$7.3M
Control window82WAR+2.7FIP−68IP92Surplus$0.1M
Full tenure81WAR+2.7FIP−68IP92Surplus$0.1M

On the day: +5.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 39, salary $5.3M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Roberto Osunaarb 1$5.3M$18.7M+2.7$7.1M$0.1M
Total over the control window$18.7M+2.7$7.1M$0.1M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Ken GilesP · 28 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+1.9WAR (control) · 3 yr81
Rest of season52WAR+0.0FIP−101IP20Surplus−$1.9M
Short term90WAR+2.1FIP−64IP73Surplus$9.5M
Control window80WAR+1.9FIP−72IP76Surplus$0.2M
Full tenure79WAR+1.9FIP−72IP76Surplus$0.2M

On the day: +4.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 55, salary $4.6M.

David PaulinoP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr57
Rest of season76WAR+0.1FIP−99IP7Surplus$0.2M
Short term60WAR+0.1FIP−99IP7Surplus$0.2M
Control window57WAR+0.1FIP−99IP7Surplus$0.2M
Full tenure57WAR+0.1FIP−99IP7Surplus$0.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 118.

Hector PerezP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr32
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window29WAR-0.1FIP−345IP2Surplus−$0.9M
Full tenure30WAR-0.1FIP−345IP2Surplus−$0.9M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ken Gilesarb 1$4.6M$17.8M+1.9$9.3M$0.2M
David Paulinopre-arbest.$0.3M+0.1$0.2M
Hector Perezprospectest.$0.6M-0.1−$0.9M
Total over the control window$18.7M+1.9$9.7M−$0.5M

What this became

  1. Hector Perez → CINCIN ⇄ TOR, 20210.0 WAR

Also that day

Brad Brach, ATL ⇄ BAL, 2018Atlanta Braves ⇄ Baltimore OriolesLance Lynn, MIN ⇄ NYY, 2018Minnesota Twins ⇄ New York YankeesAdam Warren, NYY ⇄ SEA, 2018New York Yankees ⇄ Seattle MarinersZach Duke, MIN ⇄ SEA, 2018Minnesota Twins ⇄ Seattle MarinersTy Buttrey, BOS ⇄ LAA, 2018Boston Red Sox ⇄ Los Angeles AngelsLucas Sims, ATL ⇄ CIN, 2018Atlanta Braves ⇄ Cincinnati Reds

The web around this trade

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