July 11, 2002

Juan Encarnación and 3 others: Cincinnati RedsMiami Marlins

4 pieces changed hands and the ledger barely moved.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
12far worse
Franchise trade score12
Rest of season12WAR in-0.1WAR out+0.5Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.3M
Short term13WAR in-1.0WAR out+0.6Net-1.6Net surplus−$4.7M
Control window12WAR in-1.0WAR out+0.5Net-1.6Net surplus−$7.9M
Full tenure16WAR in-1.0WAR out+0.6Net-1.6Net surplus−$4.7M
Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
88far better
Franchise trade score88
Rest of season88WAR in+0.5WAR out-0.1Net+0.7Net surplus$2.3M
Short term87WAR in+0.6WAR out-1.0Net+1.6Net surplus$4.7M
Control window88WAR in+0.5WAR out-1.0Net+1.6Net surplus$7.9M
Full tenure84WAR in+0.6WAR out-1.0Net+1.6Net surplus$4.7M

MIA won the World Series in 2003

Cincinnati Reds received

Ryan DempsterP · 25 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 2 yr7
Rest of season15WAR-0.1FIP−121IP89Surplus−$1.4M
Short term6WAR-1.0FIP−117IP204Surplus−$7.0M
Control window7WAR-1.0FIP−117IP204Surplus−$7.0M
Full tenure7WAR-1.0FIP−117IP204Surplus−$7.0M

On the day: +4.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -74, FIP− 104, salary $2.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ryan Dempsterarb 2$2.5M$4.3M-1.0−$7.0M
Total over the control window$4.3M-1.0−$7.0M

Miami Marlins received

Juan EncarnaciónRF · 26 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr67
Rest of season81WAR+0.5wRC+96PA290Surplus$0.9M
Short term54WAR+0.6wRC+98PA943Surplus−$2.3M
Control window66WAR+0.5wRC+96PA290Surplus$0.9M
Full tenure53WAR+0.6wRC+98PA943Surplus−$2.3M

On the day: +2.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 84, salary $1.6M.

Wilton Guerrero2B · 28 · FA eligible · 1 yr control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for MIA

On the day: -1.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 96, salary $850K.

Ryan SnareP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for MIA

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Juan Encarnaciónarb 3$1.6M$0.6M+0.5$1.2M$0.9M
Wilton GuerreroFA eligible$850K$0.0M0.0$0.0M
Ryan Snareprospectest.$0.0M0.0$0.0M
Total over the control window$0.6M+0.5$1.2M$0.9M

What this became

  1. Ryan Snare → TEXUgueth Urbina, MIA ⇄ TEX, 2003-0.2 WAR
  2. Juan Encarnación → LADJuan Encarnación, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2003+0.3 WAR
  3. Juan Encarnación → MIABrad Penny, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2004+1.5 WAR
  4. Adrián González → SDPAdrián González, SDP ⇄ TEX, 2006+15.4 WAR
  5. Bill Murphy → ARISteve Finley, ARI ⇄ LAD, 2004-0.0 WAR
  6. Guillermo Mota → BOSHanley Ramírez, BOS ⇄ MIA, 20050.0 WAR
  7. Paul Lo Duca → NYMPaul Lo Duca, MIA ⇄ NYM, 2005+2.6 WAR
  8. Adrián González → BOSAdrián González, BOS ⇄ SDP, 2010+9.2 WAR
  9. Guillermo Mota → CLEKelly Shoppach, BOS ⇄ CLE, 2006-0.5 WAR
  10. Anthony Rizzo → CHCAnthony Rizzo, CHC ⇄ SDP, 2012+20.7 WAR
  11. Aníbal Sánchez → DETOmar Infante, DET ⇄ MIA, 2012+1.3 WAR
  12. Hanley Ramírez → LADHanley Ramírez, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2012+9.9 WAR
  13. Josh Beckett → LADAdrián González, BOS ⇄ LAD, 2012+1.8 WAR
  14. Rey Fuentes → KCRKCR ⇄ SDP, 2014-0.2 WAR
  15. Casey Kelly → ATLATL ⇄ SDP, 2015-0.1 WAR

Also that day

CLE ⇄ STL, 2002Cleveland Guardians ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsCarl Pavano, MIA ⇄ WSN, 2002Miami Marlins ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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