January 6, 2012

Anthony Rizzo and 3 others: Chicago CubsSan Diego Padres

Chicago Cubs got 20.7 WAR out of Anthony Rizzo over 5 seasons. San Diego Padres got 5.5 from the whole return.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season97WAR in+1.9WAR out+0.2Net+1.7Net surplus$9.2M
Short term73WAR in+4.0WAR out+3.4Net+0.7Net surplus$1.1M
Control window99WAR in+20.7WAR out+5.5Net+15.2Net surplus$130.1M
Full tenure100WAR in+35.0WAR out+5.5Net+29.5Net surplus$185.5M

CHC won the World Series in 2016

San Diego Padres
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season3WAR in+0.2WAR out+1.9Net-1.7Net surplus−$9.2M
Short term27WAR in+3.4WAR out+4.0Net-0.7Net surplus−$1.1M
Control window1WAR in+5.5WAR out+20.7Net-15.2Net surplus−$130.1M
Full tenure0WAR in+5.5WAR out+35.0Net-29.5Net surplus−$185.5M

Chicago Cubs received

Anthony Rizzo1B · 23 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+20.7WAR (control) · 5 yr98
Rest of season94WAR+1.9wRC+117PA368Surplus$9.7M
Short term93WAR+4.0wRC+109PA1058Surplus$22.8M
Control window99WAR+20.7wRC+135PA3051Surplus$152.3M
Full tenure99WAR+35.0wRC+131PA5639Surplus$207.8M

On the day: -1.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 59.

Zach Cates—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Anthony Rizzopre-arbest.$12.4M+20.7$0.6M$152.3M
Total over the control window$12.4M+20.7$0.6M$152.3M

San Diego Padres received

Andrew CashnerP · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+5.5WAR (control) · 5 yr88
Rest of season78WAR+0.2FIP−94IP46Surplus$0.5M
Short term92WAR+3.4FIP−91IP221Surplus$21.7M
Control window88WAR+5.5FIP−97IP609Surplus$22.2M
Full tenure87WAR+5.5FIP−97IP609Surplus$22.2M

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 99, salary $486K.

Kyung-Min Na—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Andrew Cashnerpre-arb$486K$14.5M+5.5$2.7M$22.2M
Total over the control window$14.5M+5.5$2.7M$22.2M

What this became

  1. Andrew Cashner → MIAColin Rea, MIA ⇄ SDP, 2016-0.1 WAR
  2. Anthony Rizzo → NYYAnthony Rizzo, CHC ⇄ NYY, 2021+0.6 WAR
  3. Colin Rea → SDPMIA ⇄ SDP, 2016-0.1 WAR
  4. Josh Naylor → CLEJosh Naylor, CLE ⇄ SDP, 2020+6.2 WAR
  5. Luis Castillo → CINLuis Castillo, CIN ⇄ MIA, 2017+16.7 WAR
  6. Greg Allen → NYYGreg Allen, NYY ⇄ SDP, 2021+0.6 WAR
  7. Owen Miller → MILOwen Miller, CLE ⇄ MIL, 2022+0.2 WAR
  8. Cal Quantrill → COLCal Quantrill, CLE ⇄ COL, 2023+1.1 WAR
  9. Josh Naylor → ARIJosh Naylor, ARI ⇄ CLE, 2024+1.1 WAR
  10. Luis Castillo → SEALuis Castillo, CIN ⇄ SEA, 2022+4.4 WAR
  11. Owen Miller → COLOwen Miller, COL ⇄ MIL, 2024+0.0 WAR
  12. Josh Naylor → SEAJosh Naylor, ARI ⇄ SEA, 2025+2.0 WAR

The web around this trade

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All CHC ⇄ SDP tradesHow the scores work