July 30, 2015

Adam Duvall and 2 others: Cincinnati RedsSan Francisco Giants

Cincinnati Reds came out ahead by 6.0 WAR, most of it from Adam Duvall.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
97far better
Franchise trade score97
Rest of season85WAR in+0.2WAR out+0.2Net+0.0Net surplus$4.1M
Short term97WAR in+3.1WAR out+0.2Net+2.9Net surplus$26.0M
Control window97WAR in+6.2WAR out+0.2Net+6.0Net surplus$47.3M
Full tenure96WAR in+6.2WAR out+0.2Net+6.0Net surplus$47.3M
San Francisco Giants
franchise trade score
3far worse
Franchise trade score3
Rest of season15WAR in+0.2WAR out+0.2Net-0.0Net surplus−$4.1M
Short term3WAR in+0.2WAR out+3.1Net-2.9Net surplus−$26.0M
Control window3WAR in+0.2WAR out+6.2Net-6.0Net surplus−$47.3M
Full tenure4WAR in+0.2WAR out+6.2Net-6.0Net surplus−$47.3M

Cincinnati Reds received

Keury MellaP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 3 yr19
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window12WAR-0.4FIP−182IP17Surplus−$3.2M
Full tenure13WAR-0.4FIP−182IP17Surplus−$3.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

Adam DuvallLF · 27 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+6.6WAR (control) · 4 yr89
Rest of season81WAR+0.2wRC+112PA72Surplus$1.0M
Short term90WAR+3.1wRC+105PA680Surplus$23.0M
Control window89WAR+6.6wRC+96PA1697Surplus$47.4M
Full tenure88WAR+6.6wRC+96PA1697Surplus$47.4M

On the day: -0.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 65.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Keury Mellaprospectest.$1.8M-0.4—−$3.2M
Adam Duvallpre-arbest.$2.0M+6.6$0.3M$47.4M
Total over the control window$3.8M+6.2$0.6M$44.2M

San Francisco Giants received

Mike LeakeP · 28 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr40
Rest of season50WAR+0.2FIP−131IP55Surplus−$3.0M
Short term41WAR+0.2FIP−131IP55Surplus−$3.0M
Control window39WAR+0.2FIP−131IP55Surplus−$3.0M
Full tenure40WAR+0.2FIP−131IP55Surplus−$3.0M

On the day: +7.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 40, FIP− 102, salary $9.8M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Mike Leakearb 3$9.8M$4.1M+0.2—−$3.0M
Total over the control window$4.1M+0.2—−$3.0M

What this became

  1. Adam Duvall → ATLLucas Sims, ATL ⇄ CIN, 2018+1.2 WAR
  2. Matt Wisler → SDPMatt Wisler, CIN ⇄ SDP, 2019+0.0 WAR
  3. Lucas Sims → BOSBOS ⇄ CIN, 2024-0.3 WAR

Also that day

Matt Boyd, DET ⇄ TOR, 2015Detroit Tigers ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysJaCoby Jones, DET ⇄ PIT, 2015Detroit Tigers ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesNYY ⇄ SEA, 2015New York Yankees ⇄ Seattle MarinersJosh Hader, HOU ⇄ MIL, 2015Houston Astros ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersAlex Wood, ATL ⇄ LAD ⇄ MIA, 2015Atlanta Braves ⇄ Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Miami MarlinsBrandon Moss, CLE ⇄ STL, 2015Cleveland Guardians ⇄ St. Louis Cardinals

The web around this trade

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