March 27, 2002

Dontrelle Willis and 5 others: Chicago CubsMiami Marlins

Miami Marlins got 20.8 WAR out of Dontrelle Willis over 5 seasons. Chicago Cubs got 7.8 from the whole return.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
7far worse
Franchise trade score7
Rest of season100WAR in+4.9WAR out-0.0Net+5.0Net surplus$24.0M
Short term92WAR in+7.7WAR out+4.1Net+3.6Net surplus$6.0M
Control window2WAR in+7.8WAR out+20.6Net-12.9Net surplus−$58.8M
Full tenure2WAR in+10.9WAR out+20.6Net-9.7Net surplus−$54.4M
Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
93far better
Franchise trade score93
Rest of season0WAR in-0.0WAR out+4.9Net-5.0Net surplus−$24.0M
Short term8WAR in+4.1WAR out+7.7Net-3.6Net surplus−$6.0M
Control window98WAR in+20.6WAR out+7.8Net+12.9Net surplus$58.8M
Full tenure98WAR in+20.6WAR out+10.9Net+9.7Net surplus$54.4M

MIA won the World Series in 2003

Chicago Cubs received

Antonio AlfonsecaP · 30 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.8WAR (control) · 1 yr64
Rest of season70WAR+0.8FIP−90IP74Surplus−$0.4M
Short term56WAR+0.7FIP−92IP141Surplus−$4.3M
Control window64WAR+0.8FIP−90IP74Surplus−$0.4M
Full tenure55WAR+0.7FIP−92IP141Surplus−$4.3M

On the day: +2.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 93, salary $3.5M.

Matt ClementP · 28 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+7.0WAR (control) · 2 yr92
Rest of season98WAR+4.1FIP−79IP205Surplus$21.9M
Short term94WAR+7.0FIP−87IP407Surplus$31.0M
Control window91WAR+7.0FIP−87IP407Surplus$31.0M
Full tenure92WAR+10.2FIP−88IP588Surplus$39.3M

On the day: +1.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -44, FIP− 103, salary $2.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Antonio Alfonsecaarb 3$3.5M$2.7M+0.8$3.4M−$0.4M
Matt Clementarb 2$2.5M$5.9M+7.0$0.8M$31.0M
Total over the control window$8.5M+7.8$1.1M$30.6M

Miami Marlins received

Julián TavárezP · 29 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr27
Rest of season18WAR-0.0FIP−113IP154Surplus−$2.4M
Short term26WAR-0.0FIP−113IP154Surplus−$2.4M
Control window28WAR-0.0FIP−113IP154Surplus−$2.4M
Full tenure28WAR-0.0FIP−113IP154Surplus−$2.4M

On the day: +2.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -19, FIP− 97, salary $3.1M.

Jose Cueto—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Ryan JorgensenC · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr33
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window29WAR-0.1wRC+-100PA4Surplus−$0.5M
Full tenure30WAR-0.1wRC+-100PA4Surplus−$0.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

Dontrelle WillisP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control+20.8WAR (control) · 5 yr94
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term95WAR+4.1FIP−82IP161Surplus$23.1M
Control window95WAR+20.8FIP−92IP1023Surplus$92.3M
Full tenure95WAR+20.8FIP−92IP1023Surplus$92.3M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Julián Tavárezsigned (FA)$3.1M$2.3M-0.0—−$2.4M
Ryan Jorgensenprospectest.$0.3M-0.1—−$0.5M
Dontrelle Willisprospectest.$11.8M+20.8$0.6M$92.3M
Total over the control window$14.4M+20.6$0.7M$89.4M

What this became

  1. Ryan Jorgensen → CINRyan Jorgensen, CIN ⇄ MIA, 2006+0.1 WAR
  2. Dontrelle Willis → DETMiguel Cabrera, DET ⇄ MIA, 2007-0.8 WAR
  3. Dontrelle Willis → ARIARI ⇄ DET, 2010-0.4 WAR
  4. Andrew Miller → BOSAndrew Miller, BOS ⇄ MIA, 2010+1.7 WAR
  5. Cameron Maybin → SDPCameron Maybin, MIA ⇄ SDP, 2010+6.3 WAR
  6. Burke Badenhop → TBRBurke Badenhop, MIA ⇄ TBR, 2011+0.5 WAR
  7. Edward Mujica → STLEdward Mujica, MIA ⇄ STL, 2012+0.9 WAR
  8. Burke Badenhop → MILMIL ⇄ TBR, 2012-0.1 WAR
  9. Andrew Miller → BALEduardo Rodríguez, BAL ⇄ BOS, 2014+1.0 WAR
  10. Cameron Maybin → ATLB. J. Upton, ATL ⇄ SDP, 2015+0.9 WAR
  11. Burke Badenhop → BOSBurke Badenhop, BOS ⇄ MIL, 2013+1.1 WAR
  12. Craig Kimbrel → BOSCraig Kimbrel, BOS ⇄ SDP, 2015+6.1 WAR
  13. Cameron Maybin → DETCameron Maybin, ATL ⇄ DET, 2015+1.8 WAR
  14. B. J. Upton → TORSDP ⇄ TOR, 2016-0.4 WAR
  15. Matt Wisler → CINLucas Sims, ATL ⇄ CIN, 2018+0.2 WAR

Also that day

Dámaso Marte, CHW ⇄ PIT, 2002Chicago White Sox ⇄ Pittsburgh Pirates

The web around this trade

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