November 13, 2015

Craig Kimbrel and 4 others: Boston Red SoxSan Diego Padres

Craig Kimbrel stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Boston Red Sox

franchise trade score

32worse

Franchise trade score32

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term37WAR in+1.0WAR out+0.3Net+0.7Net surplus−$4.3M

Control window32WAR in+6.1WAR out+5.0Net+1.2Net surplus−$15.1M

Full tenure32WAR in+6.1WAR out+5.0Net+1.2Net surplus−$15.1M

BOS won the World Series in 2018

San Diego Padres

franchise trade score

68better

Franchise trade score68

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term63WAR in+0.3WAR out+1.0Net-0.7Net surplus$4.3M

Control window68WAR in+5.0WAR out+6.1Net-1.2Net surplus$15.1M

Full tenure68WAR in+5.0WAR out+6.1Net-1.2Net surplus$15.1M

Boston Red Sox received

Craig KimbrelP · 27 · signed · 3 yrs control+6.1WAR (control) · 3 yr90

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term62WAR+1.0FIP−69IP53Surplus−$3.9M

Control window94WAR+6.1FIP−57IP184Surplus$12.8M

Full tenure93WAR+6.1FIP−57IP184Surplus$12.8M

On the day: +8.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 51, salary $9.0M, signed through 2018.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Craig Kimbrel	signed thru 2018	$9.0M	$37.5M	+6.1	$6.1M	$12.8M
Total over the control window			$37.5M	+6.1	$6.1M	$12.8M

San Diego Padres received

Manuel MargotCF · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control+5.7WAR (control) · 4 yr80

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term71WAR+0.4wRC+68PA37Surplus$1.6M

Control window85WAR+5.7wRC+85PA1526Surplus$35.3M

Full tenure84WAR+5.7wRC+85PA1526Surplus$35.3M

Javy GuerraP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.6WAR (control) · 5 yr14

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window7WAR-0.6FIP−127IP28Surplus−$5.0M

Full tenure7WAR-0.6FIP−127IP28Surplus−$5.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

Carlos Asuaje2B · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 3 yr35

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term22WAR-0.1wRC+41PA25Surplus−$1.2M

Control window41WAR+0.1wRC+75PA586Surplus−$1.0M

Full tenure42WAR+0.1wRC+75PA586Surplus−$1.0M

Logan AllenP · 18 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr25

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window20WAR-0.2FIP−136IP25Surplus−$1.4M

Full tenure21WAR-0.2FIP−136IP25Surplus−$1.4M

too little playing time to rate quality

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Manuel Margot	prospect	est.	$2.2M	+5.7	$0.4M	$35.3M
Javy Guerra	prospect	est.	$3.1M	-0.6	—	−$5.0M
Carlos Asuaje	prospect	est.	$1.7M	+0.1	—	−$1.0M
Logan Allen	prospect	est.	$0.6M	-0.2	—	−$1.4M
Total over the control window			$7.6M	+5.0	$1.5M	$28.0M

What this became

Logan Allen → CLEFranmil Reyes, CIN ⇄ CLE ⇄ SDP, 2019-0.5 WAR
Manuel Margot → TBRManuel Margot, SDP ⇄ TBR, 2020+4.8 WAR
Javy Guerra → TBRSDP ⇄ TBR, 2022-0.0 WAR
Taylor Trammell → SEATy France, SDP ⇄ SEA, 2020+0.0 WAR
Emilio Pagán → MINChris Paddack, MIN ⇄ SDP, 2022+1.1 WAR
Javy Guerra → MILMIL ⇄ TBR, 2022-0.2 WAR
Manuel Margot → LADTyler Glasnow, LAD ⇄ TBR, 20230.0 WAR
Taylor Rogers → MILJosh Hader, MIL ⇄ SDP, 2022-0.4 WAR
Brent Rooker → KCRKCR ⇄ SDP, 2022-0.2 WAR
Javy Guerra → TBRMIL ⇄ TBR, 2023-0.0 WAR
Manuel Margot → MINLAD ⇄ MIN, 2024-0.5 WAR
Ty France → CINCIN ⇄ SEA, 2024-0.4 WAR
Chris Paddack → DETDET ⇄ MIN, 2025-0.5 WAR
Esteury Ruiz → OAKWilliam Contreras, ATL ⇄ MIL ⇄ OAK, 2022+0.3 WAR

The web around this trade

loading the web…

player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

All BOS ⇄ SDP trades How the scores work