February 8, 2020

Manuel Margot and 2 others: San Diego PadresTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays came out ahead by 5.1 WAR, most of it from Manuel Margot.

San Diego Padres
franchise trade score
5far worse
Franchise trade score5
Rest of season9WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.8Net-0.7Net surplus−$3.5M
Short term3WAR in-0.3WAR out+3.4Net-3.7Net surplus−$18.9M
Control window5WAR in-0.3WAR out+4.8Net-5.1Net surplus−$25.0M
Full tenure6WAR in-0.3WAR out+5.3Net-5.6Net surplus−$22.1M
Tampa Bay Rays
franchise trade score
95far better
Franchise trade score95
Rest of season91WAR in+0.8WAR out+0.1Net+0.7Net surplus$3.5M
Short term97WAR in+3.4WAR out-0.3Net+3.7Net surplus$18.9M
Control window95WAR in+4.8WAR out-0.3Net+5.1Net surplus$25.0M
Full tenure94WAR in+5.3WAR out-0.3Net+5.6Net surplus$22.1M

TBR reached the World Series in 2020

San Diego Padres received

Emilio PagánP · 29 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr16
Rest of season59WAR+0.1FIP−106IP22Surplus−$0.1M
Short term15WAR-0.3FIP−120IP85Surplus−$3.0M
Control window16WAR-0.3FIP−120IP85Surplus−$3.0M
Full tenure17WAR-0.3FIP−120IP85Surplus−$3.0M

On the day: +3.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 76, salary $591K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Emilio Pagánpre-arb$591K$2.1M-0.3—−$3.0M
Total over the control window$2.1M-0.3—−$3.0M

Tampa Bay Rays received

Logan Driscoll—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Manuel MargotCF · 26 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+4.8WAR (control) · 3 yr88
Rest of season84WAR+0.8wRC+94PA159Surplus$3.3M
Short term87WAR+3.4wRC+94PA623Surplus$15.9M
Control window87WAR+4.8wRC+98PA986Surplus$22.0M
Full tenure86WAR+5.3wRC+97PA1322Surplus$19.1M

On the day: +5.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 84, salary $2.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Manuel Margotarb 1$2.5M$11.1M+4.8$2.3M$22.0M
Total over the control window$11.1M+4.8$2.3M$22.0M

What this became

  1. Emilio Pagán → MINChris Paddack, MIN ⇄ SDP, 2022+1.1 WAR
  2. Manuel Margot → LADTyler Glasnow, LAD ⇄ TBR, 20230.0 WAR
  3. Taylor Rogers → MILJosh Hader, MIL ⇄ SDP, 2022-0.4 WAR
  4. Brent Rooker → KCRKCR ⇄ SDP, 2022-0.2 WAR
  5. Manuel Margot → MINLAD ⇄ MIN, 2024-0.5 WAR
  6. Chris Paddack → DETDET ⇄ MIN, 2025-0.5 WAR
  7. Esteury Ruiz → OAKWilliam Contreras, ATL ⇄ MIL ⇄ OAK, 2022+0.3 WAR
  8. Esteury Ruiz → LADLAD ⇄ OAK, 2025-0.1 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All SDP ⇄ TBR tradesHow the scores work