February 1, 1999

Mike Lowell and 3 others: Miami MarlinsNew York Yankees

Miami Marlins came out ahead by 11.9 WAR, most of it from Mike Lowell.

Miami Marlins
franchise trade score
97far better
Franchise trade score97
Rest of season69WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.3Net+0.0Net surplus$0.1M
Short term92WAR in+2.7WAR out+0.1Net+2.6Net surplus$8.6M
Control window98WAR in+12.0WAR out+0.1Net+11.9Net surplus$38.8M
Full tenure98WAR in+15.7WAR out+0.1Net+15.7Net surplus$45.1M
New York Yankees
franchise trade score
3far worse
Franchise trade score3
Rest of season31WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.3Net-0.0Net surplus−$0.1M
Short term8WAR in+0.1WAR out+2.7Net-2.6Net surplus−$8.6M
Control window2WAR in+0.1WAR out+12.0Net-11.9Net surplus−$38.8M
Full tenure2WAR in+0.1WAR out+15.7Net-15.7Net surplus−$45.1M

NYY won the World Series in 1999

Miami Marlins received

Mike Lowell3B · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+12.0WAR (control) · 5 yr93
Rest of season74WAR+0.3wRC+87PA344Surplus$0.4M
Short term86WAR+2.7wRC+99PA927Surplus$8.3M
Control window95WAR+12.0wRC+111PA2776Surplus$38.5M
Full tenure95WAR+15.7wRC+108PA4005Surplus$44.8M

On the day: +0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 39, salary $201K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Mike Lowellpre-arb$201K$6.9M+12.0$0.6M$38.5M
Total over the control window$6.9M+12.0$0.6M$38.5M

New York Yankees received

Mark JohnsonP · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for NYY

Todd Noel—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Ed YarnallP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr50
Rest of season80WAR+0.3FIP−87IP17Surplus$0.3M
Short term51WAR+0.1FIP−107IP20Surplus−$0.3M
Control window50WAR+0.1FIP−107IP20Surplus−$0.3M
Full tenure50WAR+0.1FIP−107IP20Surplus−$0.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Mark Johnsonprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Ed Yarnallpre-arbest.$0.4M+0.1—−$0.3M
Total over the control window$0.4M+0.1—−$0.3M

What this became

  1. Ed Yarnall → CINDenny Neagle, CIN ⇄ NYY, 20000.0 WAR
  2. Mike Lowell → BOSHanley Ramírez, BOS ⇄ MIA, 2005+2.9 WAR
  3. Drew Henson → NYYWily Mo Peña, CIN ⇄ NYY, 2001-0.1 WAR
  4. Guillermo Mota → CLEKelly Shoppach, BOS ⇄ CLE, 2006-0.5 WAR
  5. Aníbal Sánchez → DETOmar Infante, DET ⇄ MIA, 2012+1.3 WAR
  6. Hanley Ramírez → LADHanley Ramírez, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2012+9.9 WAR
  7. Josh Beckett → LADAdrián González, BOS ⇄ LAD, 2012+1.8 WAR
  8. Wily Mo Peña → BOSBronson Arroyo, BOS ⇄ CIN, 2006+0.0 WAR
  9. Josh Bard → SDPJosh Bard, BOS ⇄ SDP, 2006+3.6 WAR
  10. David Riske → CHWJavier López, BOS ⇄ CHW, 2006+0.4 WAR
  11. Coco Crisp → KCRCoco Crisp, BOS ⇄ KCR, 2008+1.3 WAR
  12. Kelly Shoppach → TBRKelly Shoppach, CLE ⇄ TBR, 2009+0.9 WAR
  13. Iván De Jesús → PITMark Melancon, BOS ⇄ PIT, 20120.0 WAR
  14. Jacob Turner → CHCCHC ⇄ MIA, 2014-0.3 WAR
  15. Brian Flynn → KCRBrian Flynn, KCR ⇄ MIA, 2014+1.1 WAR
  16. Allen Webster → ARIWade Miley, ARI ⇄ BOS, 2014-0.9 WAR
  17. Nathan Eovaldi → NYYMartín Prado, MIA ⇄ NYY, 2014+3.7 WAR
  18. Adrián González → ATLMatt Kemp, ATL ⇄ LAD, 20170.0 WAR
  19. Wily Mo Peña → WSNWily Mo Peña, BOS ⇄ WSN, 2007+0.8 WAR
  20. Cla Meredith → BALCla Meredith, BAL ⇄ SDP, 2009+0.0 WAR
  21. Ramón Ramírez → SFGRamón Ramírez, BOS ⇄ SFG, 2010+1.3 WAR
  22. Wade Miley → SEAWade Miley, BOS ⇄ SEA, 2015+0.6 WAR
  23. Mark Melancon → WSNFelipe Vázquez, PIT ⇄ WSN, 2016+1.1 WAR
  24. David Phelps → SEAPablo López, MIA ⇄ SEA, 2017+0.2 WAR
  25. Matt Kemp → CINKyle Farmer, CIN ⇄ LAD, 2018-0.8 WAR

The web around this trade

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