December 7, 2015

Wade Miley and 3 others: Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners

4 pieces changed hands and the ledger barely moved.

Boston Red Sox

franchise trade score

69better

Franchise trade score69

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term68WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.6Net-0.9Net surplus$10.3M

Control window70WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.6Net-0.5Net surplus$10.4M

Full tenure69WAR in+0.1WAR out+0.6Net-0.5Net surplus$10.4M

BOS won the World Series in 2018

Seattle Mariners

franchise trade score

31worse

Franchise trade score31

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term32WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.3Net+0.9Net surplus−$10.3M

Control window30WAR in+0.6WAR out+0.1Net+0.5Net surplus−$10.4M

Full tenure31WAR in+0.6WAR out+0.1Net+0.5Net surplus−$10.4M

Boston Red Sox received

Roenis ElíasP · 27 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr15

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term14WAR-0.3FIP−185IP8Surplus−$2.1M

Control window15WAR-0.3FIP−183IP8Surplus−$2.5M

Full tenure16WAR-0.3FIP−183IP8Surplus−$2.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +2.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 108.

Carson SmithP · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 3 yr62

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term48WAR+0.0FIP−66IP3Surplus−$0.3M

Control window64WAR+0.4FIP−74IP24Surplus$0.3M

Full tenure64WAR+0.4FIP−74IP24Surplus$0.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 49.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Roenis Elías	pre-arb	est.	$1.1M	-0.3	—	−$2.5M
Carson Smith	pre-arb	est.	$1.9M	+0.4	—	$0.3M
Total over the control window			$3.1M	+0.1	—	−$2.3M

Seattle Mariners received

Wade MileyP · 29 · signed · 3 yrs control+0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr46

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term47WAR+0.6FIP−114IP112Surplus−$12.2M

Control window46WAR+0.6FIP−114IP112Surplus−$12.2M

Full tenure45WAR+0.6FIP−114IP112Surplus−$12.2M

On the day: +5.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -6, FIP− 107, salary $3.7M.

Jonathan AroP · 25 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr46

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term46WAR+0.0FIP−184IP1Surplus−$0.5M

Control window45WAR+0.0FIP−184IP1Surplus−$0.5M

Full tenure46WAR+0.0FIP−184IP1Surplus−$0.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Wade Miley	signed	$3.7M	$16.3M	+0.6	$28.0M	−$12.2M
Jonathan Aro	pre-arb	est.	$0.6M	+0.0	—	−$0.5M
Total over the control window			$16.9M	+0.6	$28.4M	−$12.7M

What this became

Wade Miley → BALAríel Miranda, BAL ⇄ SEA, 2016+0.6 WAR
Roenis Elías → SEARoenis Elías, BOS ⇄ SEA, 2018+1.0 WAR
Roenis Elías → WSNTaylor Guilbeau, SEA ⇄ WSN, 2019-0.3 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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