July 30, 2025

Zack Littell and 2 others: Cincinnati RedsTampa Bay Rays

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

franchise trade score · provisional

78better

Franchise trade score78

Rest of season89WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.0Net+0.7Net surplus$2.8M

Short term80WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.0Net+0.7Net surplus$2.8M

Control window78WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.0Net+0.7Net surplus$2.8M

Full tenure77WAR in+0.6WAR out-0.0Net+0.7Net surplus$2.8M

franchise trade score · provisional

22worse

Franchise trade score22

Rest of season11WAR in-0.0WAR out+0.6Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.8M

Short term20WAR in-0.0WAR out+0.6Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.8M

Control window22WAR in-0.0WAR out+0.6Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.8M

Full tenure23WAR in-0.0WAR out+0.6Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.8M

Cincinnati Reds received

Zack LittellP · 30 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.6WAR (control) · 1 yr68

Rest of season81WAR+0.6FIP−111IP53Surplus$2.3M

Short term70WAR+0.6FIP−111IP53Surplus$2.3M

Control window67WAR+0.6FIP−111IP53Surplus$2.3M

Full tenure67WAR+0.6FIP−111IP53Surplus$2.3M

On the day: +4.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 98, salary $5.7M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Zack Littell	arb 3	$5.7M	$2.4M	+0.6	$3.8M	$2.3M
Total over the control window			$2.4M	+0.6	$3.8M	$2.3M

Brian Van BelleP · 29 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr32

Rest of season19WAR-0.0FIP−115IP8Surplus−$0.5M

Short term30WAR-0.0FIP−115IP8Surplus−$0.5M

Control window32WAR-0.0FIP−115IP8Surplus−$0.5M

Full tenure33WAR-0.0FIP−115IP8Surplus−$0.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

Adam Serwinowskiprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Brian Van Belle	pre-arb	est.	$0.3M	-0.0	—	−$0.5M
Total over the control window			$0.3M	-0.0	—	−$0.5M

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs