March 13, 2024

Dylan Cease and 4 others: Chicago White SoxSan Diego Padres

San Diego Padres came out ahead by 6.5 WAR, most of it from Dylan Cease.

Chicago White Sox

franchise trade score · provisional

2far worse

Franchise trade score2

Rest of season0WAR in-0.7WAR out+4.4Net-5.1Net surplus−$66.9M

Short term0WAR in+0.1WAR out+6.6Net-6.5Net surplus−$73.9M

Control window2WAR in+0.1WAR out+6.6Net-6.5Net surplus−$73.9M

Full tenure3WAR in+0.1WAR out+6.6Net-6.5Net surplus−$73.9M

San Diego Padres

franchise trade score · provisional

98far better

Franchise trade score98

Rest of season100WAR in+4.4WAR out-0.7Net+5.1Net surplus$66.9M

Short term100WAR in+6.6WAR out+0.1Net+6.5Net surplus$73.9M

Control window98WAR in+6.6WAR out+0.1Net+6.5Net surplus$73.9M

Full tenure97WAR in+6.6WAR out+0.1Net+6.5Net surplus$73.9M

Chicago White Sox received

Drew ThorpeP · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr27

Rest of season17WAR-0.0FIP−142IP44Surplus−$0.7M

Short term26WAR-0.0FIP−142IP44Surplus−$0.7M

Control window28WAR-0.0FIP−142IP44Surplus−$0.7M

Full tenure28WAR-0.0FIP−142IP44Surplus−$0.7M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $740K.

Jairo IriarteP · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr48

Rest of season57WAR+0.0FIP−125IP6Surplus−$0.3M

Short term48WAR+0.0FIP−125IP6Surplus−$0.3M

Control window47WAR+0.0FIP−125IP6Surplus−$0.3M

Full tenure48WAR+0.0FIP−125IP6Surplus−$0.3M

too little playing time to rate quality

Samuel Zavalaprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Steven WilsonP · 30 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr41

Rest of season2WAR-0.7FIP−163IP35Surplus−$5.9M

Short term41WAR+0.1FIP−125IP90Surplus−$1.4M

Control window40WAR+0.1FIP−125IP90Surplus−$1.4M

Full tenure41WAR+0.1FIP−125IP90Surplus−$1.4M

On the day: +1.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 104, salary $752K.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Drew Thorpe	pre-arb	$740K	$0.6M	-0.0	—	−$0.7M
Jairo Iriarte	pre-arb	est.	$0.6M	+0.0	—	−$0.3M
Steven Wilson	pre-arb	$752K	$1.5M	+0.1	—	−$1.4M
Total over the control window			$2.6M	+0.1	—	−$2.4M

San Diego Padres received

Dylan CeaseP · 29 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+6.6WAR (control) · 2 yr95

Rest of season98WAR+4.4FIP−77IP189Surplus$60.0M

Short term97WAR+6.6FIP−82IP357Surplus$71.5M

Control window94WAR+6.6FIP−82IP357Surplus$71.5M

Full tenure94WAR+6.6FIP−82IP357Surplus$71.5M

On the day: +11.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 85, salary $8.0M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Dylan Cease	arb 2	$8.0M	$19.8M	+6.6	$3.0M	$71.5M
Total over the control window			$19.8M	+6.6	$3.0M	$71.5M

What this became

Steven Wilson → TBREverson Pereira, CHW ⇄ TBR, 20250.0 WAR
Yoendrys Gómez → MINYoendrys Gómez, MIN ⇄ TBR, 2026+1.2 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

All CHW ⇄ SDP trades How the scores work