March 14, 2022

Eugenio Suárez and 5 others: Cincinnati RedsSeattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners came out ahead by 3.7 WAR, most of it from Eugenio Suárez.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
4far worse
Franchise trade score4
Rest of season0WAR in+0.2WAR out+4.5Net-4.3Net surplus−$47.0M
Short term1WAR in+2.9WAR out+7.4Net-4.6Net surplus−$47.0M
Control window4WAR in+3.7WAR out+7.4Net-3.7Net surplus−$47.1M
Full tenure5WAR in+3.7WAR out+7.4Net-3.7Net surplus−$47.1M
Seattle Mariners
franchise trade score
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season100WAR in+4.5WAR out+0.2Net+4.3Net surplus$47.0M
Short term99WAR in+7.4WAR out+2.9Net+4.6Net surplus$47.0M
Control window96WAR in+7.4WAR out+3.7Net+3.7Net surplus$47.1M
Full tenure95WAR in+7.4WAR out+3.7Net+3.7Net surplus$47.1M

Cincinnati Reds received

Justin DunnP · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr9
Rest of season4WAR-0.4FIP−194IP31Surplus−$3.5M
Short term8WAR-0.4FIP−194IP31Surplus−$3.5M
Control window9WAR-0.4FIP−194IP31Surplus−$3.5M
Full tenure10WAR-0.4FIP−194IP31Surplus−$3.5M

On the day: +1.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 170, FIP− 114, salary $720K.

Jake FraleyRF · 27 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+2.7WAR (control) · 4 yr85
Rest of season89WAR+0.6wRC+121PA247Surplus$4.0M
Short term85WAR+1.6wRC+113PA627Surplus$9.1M
Control window85WAR+2.7wRC+106PA1202Surplus$11.4M
Full tenure84WAR+2.7wRC+106PA1202Surplus$11.4M

On the day: +1.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 109, salary $710K.

Player to be named laterWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Brandon WilliamsonP · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.4WAR (control) · 3 yr76
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term83WAR+1.7FIP−101IP117Surplus$12.3M
Control window74WAR+1.4FIP−114IP169Surplus$9.8M
Full tenure73WAR+1.4FIP−114IP169Surplus$9.8M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Justin Dunnpre-arb$720K$0.5M-0.4−$3.5M
Jake Fraleypre-arb$710K$6.5M+2.7$2.4M$11.4M
Brandon Williamsonprospectest.$2.3M+1.4$1.6M$9.8M
Total over the control window$9.4M+3.7$2.5M$17.7M

Seattle Mariners received

Jesse WinkerLF · 29 · signed · 2 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr52
Rest of season61WAR+0.3wRC+110PA547Surplus−$2.5M
Short term53WAR+0.3wRC+110PA547Surplus−$2.5M
Control window52WAR+0.3wRC+110PA547Surplus−$2.5M
Full tenure52WAR+0.3wRC+110PA547Surplus−$2.5M

On the day: +5.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 148, salary $6.3M.

Eugenio SuárezDH · 31 · signed (FA) · 4 yrs control+7.1WAR (control) · 2 yr95
Rest of season99WAR+4.2wRC+132PA629Surplus$50.0M
Short term97WAR+7.1wRC+118PA1323Surplus$67.4M
Control window95WAR+7.1wRC+118PA1323Surplus$67.4M
Full tenure94WAR+7.1wRC+118PA1323Surplus$67.4M

On the day: +3.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 85, salary $11.3M, signed through 2025.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jesse Winkersigned$6.3M$4.7M+0.3−$2.5M
Eugenio Suárezsigned (FA) thru 2025$11.3M$19.8M+7.1$2.8M$67.4M
Total over the control window$24.4M+7.4$3.3M$64.9M

What this became

  1. Jesse Winker → MILAbraham Toro, MIL ⇄ SEA, 2022-0.7 WAR
  2. Eugenio Suárez → ARIEugenio Suárez, ARI ⇄ SEA, 2023+6.7 WAR
  3. Abraham Toro → OAKChad Patrick, MIL ⇄ OAK, 2023+0.7 WAR
  4. Eugenio Suárez → SEAEugenio Suárez, ARI ⇄ SEA, 2025+0.5 WAR

Also that day

Matt Olson, ATL ⇄ OAK, 2022Atlanta Braves ⇄ Athletics

The web around this trade

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