December 7, 2016

Lucas Giolito and 3 others: Chicago White SoxWashington Nationals

Chicago White Sox came out ahead by 15.7 WAR, most of it from Lucas Giolito.

Chicago White Sox
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term86WAR in+1.2WAR out+0.5Net+0.7Net surplus$6.3M
Control window99WAR in+19.1WAR out+3.5Net+15.7Net surplus$117.2M
Full tenure99WAR in+21.7WAR out+3.5Net+18.2Net surplus$123.3M
Washington Nationals
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term14WAR in+0.5WAR out+1.2Net-0.7Net surplus−$6.3M
Control window1WAR in+3.5WAR out+19.1Net-15.7Net surplus−$117.2M
Full tenure1WAR in+3.5WAR out+21.7Net-18.2Net surplus−$123.3M

WSN won the World Series in 2019

Chicago White Sox received

Lucas GiolitoP · 22 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+12.3WAR (control) · 6 yr90
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term73WAR+0.9FIP−111IP45Surplus$4.2M
Control window94WAR+12.3FIP−95IP808Surplus$78.5M
Full tenure94WAR+14.5FIP−96IP929Surplus$85.2M
Reynaldo LópezP · 22 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+6.4WAR (control) · 6 yr84
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term66WAR+0.3FIP−107IP48Surplus$1.2M
Control window89WAR+6.4FIP−102IP570Surplus$35.5M
Full tenure89WAR+6.8FIP−102IP612Surplus$34.9M
Dane DunningP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr65
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window70WAR+0.4FIP−86IP34Surplus$1.6M
Full tenure70WAR+0.4FIP−86IP34Surplus$1.6M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Lucas Giolitopre-arbest.$13.9M+12.3$1.1M$78.5M
Reynaldo Lópezpre-arbest.$7.0M+6.4$1.1M$35.5M
Dane Dunningprospectest.$0.6M+0.4—$1.6M
Total over the control window$21.6M+19.1$1.1M$115.6M

Washington Nationals received

Adam EatonCF · 28 · signed · 5 yrs control+3.5WAR (control) · 4 yr66
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term62WAR+0.5wRC+124PA107Surplus−$0.9M
Control window70WAR+3.5wRC+109PA1309Surplus−$1.6M
Full tenure69WAR+3.5wRC+109PA1309Surplus−$1.6M

On the day: +9.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 121, salary $2.8M, signed through 2021.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Adam Eatonsigned thru 2021$2.8M$27.9M+3.5$8.1M−$1.6M
Total over the control window$27.9M+3.5$8.1M−$1.6M

What this became

  1. Dane Dunning → TEXLance Lynn, CHW ⇄ TEX, 2020+4.2 WAR
  2. Lucas Giolito → LAAReynaldo López, CHW ⇄ LAA, 2023-0.4 WAR
  3. Lance Lynn → LADJoe Kelly, CHW ⇄ LAD, 2023+0.0 WAR
  4. Dane Dunning → ATLATL ⇄ TEX, 2025-0.2 WAR

Also that day

Jorge Soler, CHC ⇄ KCR, 2016Chicago Cubs ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsSEA ⇄ SFG, 2016Seattle Mariners ⇄ San Francisco Giants

The web around this trade

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