August 1, 2016

Trade: Cincinnati RedsNew York Mets

Jay Bruce and Dilson Herrera changed clubs, and neither amounted to much for either side.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
65better
Franchise trade score65
Rest of season88WAR in0.0WAR out-0.1Net+0.1Net surplus$4.9M
Short term17WAR in0.0WAR out+2.2Net-2.2Net surplus−$2.4M
Control window73WAR in-0.1WAR out-0.1Net+0.0Net surplus$3.7M
Full tenure17WAR in-0.1WAR out+2.2Net-2.3Net surplus−$3.6M
New York Mets
franchise trade score
35worse
Franchise trade score35
Rest of season12WAR in-0.1WAR out0.0Net-0.1Net surplus−$4.9M
Short term83WAR in+2.2WAR out0.0Net+2.2Net surplus$2.4M
Control window27WAR in-0.1WAR out-0.1Net-0.0Net surplus−$3.7M
Full tenure83WAR in+2.2WAR out-0.1Net+2.3Net surplus$3.6M

Cincinnati Reds received

Dilson Herrera2B · 22 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr28
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window24WAR-0.1wRC+80PA97Surplus−$1.2M
Full tenure25WAR-0.1wRC+80PA97Surplus−$1.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +0.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 91.

Max Wotell—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Dilson Herrerapre-arbest.$0.6M-0.1—−$1.2M
Total over the control window$0.6M-0.1—−$1.2M

New York Mets received

Jay BruceRF · 29 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr33
Rest of season13WAR-0.1wRC+83PA187Surplus−$4.9M
Short term85WAR+2.2wRC+110PA635Surplus$2.4M
Control window20WAR-0.1wRC+83PA187Surplus−$4.9M
Full tenure81WAR+2.2wRC+110PA635Surplus$2.4M

On the day: +3.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 93, salary $12.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jay Brucesigned (FA)$12.5M$4.2M-0.1—−$4.9M
Total over the control window$4.2M-0.1—−$4.9M

What this became

  1. Jay Bruce → CLEJay Bruce, CLE ⇄ NYM, 2017+0.4 WAR

Also that day

Fernando Abad, BOS ⇄ MIN, 2016Boston Red Sox ⇄ Minnesota TwinsMIA ⇄ SDP, 2016Miami Marlins ⇄ San Diego PadresBrandon Guyer, CLE ⇄ TBR, 2016Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysFrankie Montas, LAD ⇄ OAK, 2016Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ AthleticsCarlos Beltrán, NYY ⇄ TEX, 2016New York Yankees ⇄ Texas RangersHOU ⇄ TOR, 2016Houston Astros ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysLAD ⇄ TOR, 2016Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysNYM ⇄ PIT, 2016New York Mets ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesRicky Nolasco, LAA ⇄ MIN, 2016Los Angeles Angels ⇄ Minnesota TwinsIván Nova, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2016New York Yankees ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesJoe Smith, CHC ⇄ LAA, 2016Chicago Cubs ⇄ Los Angeles AngelsMatt Duffy, SFG ⇄ TBR, 2016San Francisco Giants ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysJonathan Lucroy, MIL ⇄ TEX, 2016Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ Texas RangersYordan Álvarez, HOU ⇄ LAD, 2016Houston Astros ⇄ Los Angeles DodgersReese McGuire, PIT ⇄ TOR, 2016Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysWill Smith, MIL ⇄ SFG, 2016Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ San Francisco GiantsSteve Pearce, BAL ⇄ TBR, 2016Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Tampa Bay Rays

The web around this trade

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All CIN ⇄ NYM tradesHow the scores work