December 9, 2015

Ender Inciarte and 4 others: Arizona DiamondbacksAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves came out ahead by 19.0 WAR, most of it from Ender Inciarte.

Arizona Diamondbacks
franchise trade score
1far worse
Franchise trade score1
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term2WAR in-0.2WAR out+3.6Net-3.7Net surplus−$34.0M
Control window0WAR in-0.4WAR out+18.5Net-19.0Net surplus−$120.3M
Full tenure0WAR in-0.4WAR out+24.5Net-25.0Net surplus−$158.2M
Atlanta Braves
franchise trade score
99far better
Franchise trade score99
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term98WAR in+3.6WAR out-0.2Net+3.7Net surplus$34.0M
Control window100WAR in+18.5WAR out-0.4Net+19.0Net surplus$120.3M
Full tenure100WAR in+24.5WAR out-0.4Net+25.0Net surplus$158.2M

ATL won the World Series in 2021

Arizona Diamondbacks received

Shelby MillerP · 25 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control-0.4WAR (control) · 3 yr14
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term18WAR-0.2FIP−116IP101Surplus−$4.9M
Control window12WAR-0.4FIP−116IP139Surplus−$13.9M
Full tenure12WAR-0.4FIP−116IP139Surplus−$13.9M

On the day: +5.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 41, FIP− 124, salary $535K.

Gabe SpeierP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for ARI

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Shelby Millerarb 1$535K$13.9M-0.4—−$13.9M
Gabe Speierprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Total over the control window$13.9M-0.4—−$13.9M

Atlanta Braves received

Ender InciarteCF · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+10.6WAR (control) · 5 yr89
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term90WAR+3.9wRC+97PA578Surplus$32.1M
Control window90WAR+10.6wRC+91PA2317Surplus$70.1M
Full tenure89WAR+10.5wRC+90PA2406Surplus$64.4M

On the day: +7.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 86, salary $513K.

Aaron BlairP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control-1.4WAR (control) · 2 yr1
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term2WAR-1.4FIP−153IP70Surplus−$9.2M
Control window1WAR-1.4FIP−156IP73Surplus−$10.2M
Full tenure2WAR-1.4FIP−156IP73Surplus−$10.2M
Dansby SwansonSS · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control+9.4WAR (control) · 6 yr85
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term80WAR+1.1wRC+107PA145Surplus$6.2M
Control window88WAR+9.4wRC+88PA2691Surplus$46.4M
Full tenure91WAR+15.5wRC+94PA3387Surplus$90.1M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ender Inciartepre-arb$513K$21.3M+10.6$2.0M$70.1M
Aaron Blairprospectest.$1.1M-1.4—−$10.2M
Dansby Swansonprospectest.$11.4M+9.4$1.2M$46.4M
Total over the control window$33.9M+18.5$1.8M$106.4M

What this became

  1. Gabe Speier → KCRGabe Speier, ARI ⇄ KCR, 2018+0.3 WAR
  2. Shelby Miller → MILARI ⇄ MIL, 2025-0.0 WAR

Also that day

Freddy Peralta, MIL ⇄ SEA, 2015Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ Seattle MarinersNeil Walker, NYM ⇄ PIT, 2015New York Mets ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesChad Green, DET ⇄ NYY, 2015Detroit Tigers ⇄ New York YankeesJ. B. Wendelken, CHW ⇄ OAK, 2015Chicago White Sox ⇄ Athletics

The web around this trade

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All ARI ⇄ ATL tradesHow the scores work