July 31, 2015

Michael Fulmer and 2 others: Detroit TigersNew York Mets

Detroit Tigers came out ahead by 3.7 WAR, most of it from Michael Fulmer.

Detroit Tigers
franchise trade score
92far better
Franchise trade score92
Rest of season1WAR in0.0WAR out+2.3Net-2.3Net surplus−$15.4M
Short term70WAR in+4.2WAR out+5.4Net-1.1Net surplus$25.6M
Control window96WAR in+11.0WAR out+7.2Net+3.7Net surplus$69.7M
Full tenure96WAR in+11.0WAR out+7.9Net+3.1Net surplus$93.8M
New York Mets
franchise trade score
8far worse
Franchise trade score8
Rest of season99WAR in+2.3WAR out0.0Net+2.3Net surplus$15.4M
Short term30WAR in+5.4WAR out+4.2Net+1.1Net surplus−$25.6M
Control window4WAR in+7.2WAR out+11.0Net-3.7Net surplus−$69.7M
Full tenure4WAR in+7.9WAR out+11.0Net-3.1Net surplus−$93.8M

NYM reached the World Series in 2015

Detroit Tigers received

Michael FulmerP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control+11.0WAR (control) · 6 yr94
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term94WAR+4.2FIP−87IP159Surplus$41.6M
Control window95WAR+11.0FIP−92IP593Surplus$78.1M
Full tenure94WAR+11.0FIP−92IP593Surplus$78.1M
Luis CessaP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for DET

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Michael Fulmerprospectest.$12.5M+11.0$1.1M$78.1M
Luis Cessaprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Total over the control window$12.5M+11.0$1.1M$78.1M

New York Mets received

Yoenis CéspedesLF · 30 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+7.2WAR (control) · 3 yr94
Rest of season98WAR+2.3wRC+156PA249Surplus$15.4M
Short term97WAR+5.4wRC+142PA792Surplus$16.0M
Control window94WAR+7.2wRC+139PA1113Surplus$8.4M
Full tenure71WAR+7.9wRC+135PA1304Surplus−$15.8M

On the day: +9.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 110, salary $10.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Yoenis Céspedesarb 1$10.5M$54.4M+7.2$7.5M$8.4M
Total over the control window$54.4M+7.2$7.5M$8.4M

What this became

  1. Luis Cessa → NYYChad Green, DET ⇄ NYY, 2015+1.4 WAR
  2. Michael Fulmer → MINMichael Fulmer, DET ⇄ MIN, 2022+0.2 WAR
  3. Justin Wilson → CHCJeimer Candelario, CHC ⇄ DET, 2017+0.6 WAR
  4. Luis Cessa → CINLuis Cessa, CIN ⇄ NYY, 2021+1.0 WAR
  5. Isaac Paredes → TBRIsaac Paredes, DET ⇄ TBR, 2022+9.2 WAR
  6. Isaac Paredes → CHCIsaac Paredes, CHC ⇄ TBR, 2024+0.4 WAR

Also that day

Jonathan Broxton, MIL ⇄ STL, 2015Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsZach Davies, BAL ⇄ MIL, 2015Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersCole Hamels, PHI ⇄ TEX, 2015Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Texas RangersKevin Jepsen, MIN ⇄ TBR, 2015Minnesota Twins ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysAbraham Almonte, CLE ⇄ SDP, 2015Cleveland Guardians ⇄ San Diego PadresJ. A. Happ, PIT ⇄ SEA, 2015Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Seattle MarinersBOS ⇄ OAK, 2015Boston Red Sox ⇄ AthleticsLAD ⇄ PIT, 2015Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesBen Revere, PHI ⇄ TOR, 2015Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysSam Dyson, MIA ⇄ TEX, 2015Miami Marlins ⇄ Texas RangersBAL ⇄ CHC, 2015Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Chicago CubsDan Haren, CHC ⇄ MIA, 2015Chicago Cubs ⇄ Miami MarlinsMark Lowe, SEA ⇄ TOR, 2015Seattle Mariners ⇄ Toronto Blue Jays

The web around this trade

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