January 14, 2015

Mike Foltynewicz and 4 others: Atlanta BravesHouston Astros

Mike Foltynewicz stayed 5 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Atlanta Braves

franchise trade score

80better

Franchise trade score80

Rest of season4WAR in-0.8WAR out+0.5Net-1.3Net surplus−$7.2M

Short term4WAR in+0.7WAR out+3.5Net-2.8Net surplus−$20.6M

Control window84WAR in+5.6WAR out+5.1Net+0.5Net surplus$9.2M

Full tenure75WAR in+5.3WAR out+5.1Net+0.2Net surplus$3.5M

Houston Astros

franchise trade score

20worse

Franchise trade score20

Rest of season96WAR in+0.5WAR out-0.8Net+1.3Net surplus$7.2M

Short term96WAR in+3.5WAR out+0.7Net+2.8Net surplus$20.6M

Control window16WAR in+5.1WAR out+5.6Net-0.5Net surplus−$9.2M

Full tenure25WAR in+5.1WAR out+5.3Net-0.2Net surplus−$3.5M

HOU won the World Series in 2017

Atlanta Braves received

Mike FoltynewiczP · 24 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+5.9WAR (control) · 5 yr80

Rest of season4WAR-0.8FIP−134IP87Surplus−$4.8M

Short term68WAR+0.6FIP−117IP210Surplus$3.5M

Control window85WAR+5.9FIP−104IP664Surplus$34.9M

Full tenure83WAR+5.6FIP−105IP667Surplus$29.3M

On the day: -0.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 128, salary $509K.

Andrew Thurman—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Rio Ruiz2B · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 3 yr21

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term52WAR+0.1wRC+117PA7Surplus−$0.1M

Control window13WAR-0.3wRC+53PA195Surplus−$3.1M

Full tenure13WAR-0.3wRC+53PA195Surplus−$3.1M

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Mike Foltynewicz	pre-arb	$509K	$9.2M	+5.9	$1.6M	$34.9M
Rio Ruiz	prospect	est.	$1.7M	-0.3	—	−$3.1M
Total over the control window			$11.0M	+5.6	$2.0M	$31.8M

Houston Astros received

Evan GattisDH · 29 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+4.8WAR (control) · 4 yr90

Rest of season84WAR+0.5wRC+103PA604Surplus$2.4M

Short term93WAR+3.6wRC+111PA1103Surplus$25.2M

Control window90WAR+4.8wRC+107PA1879Surplus$23.1M

Full tenure89WAR+4.8wRC+107PA1879Surplus$23.1M

On the day: +6.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 125, salary $527K.

James HoytP · 29 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.2WAR (control) · 3 yr49

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term23WAR-0.1FIP−118IP22Surplus−$1.1M

Control window56WAR+0.2FIP−90IP72Surplus−$0.4M

Full tenure57WAR+0.2FIP−90IP72Surplus−$0.4M

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Evan Gattis	pre-arb	$527K	$15.6M	+4.8	$3.2M	$23.1M
James Hoyt	prospect	est.	$1.7M	+0.2	—	−$0.4M
Total over the control window			$17.3M	+5.1	$3.4M	$22.7M

What this became

James Hoyt → CLEJames Hoyt, CLE ⇄ HOU, 2018+0.1 WAR

Also that day

BOS ⇄ WSN, 2015Boston Red Sox ⇄ Washington Nationals CHC ⇄ SEA, 2015Chicago Cubs ⇄ Seattle Mariners Yunel Escobar, OAK ⇄ WSN, 2015Athletics ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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