December 17, 2012

Noah Syndergaard and 6 others: New York MetsToronto Blue Jays

New York Mets got 17.5 WAR out of Noah Syndergaard over 6 seasons. Toronto Blue Jays got 5.4 from the whole return.

New York Mets
franchise trade score
95far better
Franchise trade score95
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term12WAR in+0.3WAR out+1.3Net-1.0Net surplus−$6.7M
Control window100WAR in+23.9WAR out+5.4Net+18.5Net surplus$138.0M
Full tenure99WAR in+23.4WAR out+4.8Net+18.6Net surplus$137.2M

NYM reached the World Series in 2015

Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
5far worse
Franchise trade score5
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term88WAR in+1.3WAR out+0.3Net+1.0Net surplus$6.7M
Control window0WAR in+5.4WAR out+23.9Net-18.5Net surplus−$138.0M
Full tenure1WAR in+4.8WAR out+23.4Net-18.6Net surplus−$137.2M

New York Mets received

John BuckC · 32 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr42
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term43WAR+0.3wRC+83PA407Surplus−$5.0M
Control window42WAR+0.3wRC+83PA407Surplus−$5.0M
Full tenure42WAR+0.3wRC+83PA407Surplus−$5.0M

On the day: +2.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 87, salary $6.0M.

Travis d'ArnaudC · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+6.1WAR (control) · 6 yr81
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term44WAR+0.1wRC+60PA112Surplus−$0.2M
Control window88WAR+6.1wRC+96PA1469Surplus$30.3M
Full tenure86WAR+5.7wRC+94PA1494Surplus$26.8M
Noah SyndergaardP · 20 · prospect · 6 yrs control+17.5WAR (control) · 6 yr86
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window98WAR+17.5FIP−72IP718Surplus$107.7M
Full tenure97WAR+17.5FIP−72IP718Surplus$107.7M
Wuilmer Becerra—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
John Bucksigned (FA)$6.0M$6.5M+0.3—−$5.0M
Travis d'Arnaudprospectest.$7.4M+6.1$1.2M$30.3M
Noah Syndergaardprospectest.$20.4M+17.5$1.2M$107.7M
Total over the control window$34.3M+23.9$1.4M$133.0M

Toronto Blue Jays received

R. A. DickeyP · 38 · signed (FA) · 4 yrs control+6.6WAR (control) · 4 yr82
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term79WAR+2.0FIP−114IP225Surplus$5.7M
Control window83WAR+6.6FIP−113IP824Surplus$4.4M
Full tenure82WAR+6.6FIP−113IP824Surplus$4.4M

On the day: +7.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -27, FIP− 100, salary $4.3M, signed through 2016.

Josh TholeC · 26 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control-1.3WAR (control) · 3 yr3
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term6WAR-0.6wRC+38PA135Surplus−$3.7M
Control window2WAR-1.3wRC+53PA337Surplus−$8.9M
Full tenure1WAR-1.8wRC+47PA473Surplus−$11.6M

On the day: +1.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 94, salary $499K.

Mike NickeasC · 29 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr39
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term39WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus−$0.5M
Control window39WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus−$0.5M
Full tenure40WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus−$0.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 43, salary $481K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
R. A. Dickeysigned (FA) thru 2016$4.3M$41.0M+6.6$6.2M$4.4M
Josh Tholearb 1$499K$4.3M-1.3—−$8.9M
Mike Nickeaspre-arb$481K$0.5M0.0—−$0.5M
Total over the control window$45.8M+5.4$8.5M−$4.9M

What this became

  1. John Buck → PITMarlon Byrd, NYM ⇄ PIT, 2013-0.0 WAR
  2. Dilson Herrera → CINCIN ⇄ NYM, 2016-0.1 WAR
  3. Jay Bruce → CLEJay Bruce, CLE ⇄ NYM, 2017+0.4 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
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