July 31, 2009

Scott Rolen and 3 others: Cincinnati RedsToronto Blue Jays

Cincinnati Reds came out ahead by 2.6 WAR, most of it from Scott Rolen.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
81far better
Franchise trade score81
Rest of season79WAR in+1.1WAR out+0.4Net+0.7Net surplus$0.4M
Short term97WAR in+5.5WAR out+2.0Net+3.5Net surplus$23.2M
Control window93WAR in+5.5WAR out+2.9Net+2.6Net surplus$22.5M
Full tenure1WAR in+7.5WAR out+23.8Net-16.3Net surplus−$84.2M
Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score
19far worse
Franchise trade score19
Rest of season21WAR in+0.4WAR out+1.1Net-0.7Net surplus−$0.4M
Short term3WAR in+2.0WAR out+5.5Net-3.5Net surplus−$23.2M
Control window7WAR in+2.9WAR out+5.5Net-2.6Net surplus−$22.5M
Full tenure99WAR in+23.8WAR out+7.5Net+16.3Net surplus$84.2M

Cincinnati Reds received

Scott Rolen3B · 34 · signed (FA) · 2 yrs control+5.5WAR (control) · 2 yr94
Rest of season86WAR+1.1wRC+104PA162Surplus$0.7M
Short term97WAR+5.5wRC+121PA699Surplus$25.9M
Control window93WAR+5.5wRC+121PA699Surplus$25.9M
Full tenure91WAR+7.5wRC+106PA1298Surplus$21.9M

On the day: +10.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 108, salary $11.6M, signed through 2010.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Scott Rolensigned (FA) thru 2010$11.6M$12.5M+5.5$2.3M$25.9M
Total over the control window$12.5M+5.5$2.3M$25.9M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Josh RoenickeP · 27 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr23
Rest of season13WAR-0.2FIP−104IP18Surplus−$0.9M
Short term22WAR-0.3FIP−102IP37Surplus−$1.7M
Control window23WAR-0.3FIP−102IP37Surplus−$1.7M
Full tenure24WAR-0.3FIP−102IP37Surplus−$1.7M

On the day: -0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 48, salary $400K.

Edwin EncarnaciónDH · 26 · signed · 3 yrs control+3.1WAR (control) · 3 yr85
Rest of season80WAR+0.6wRC+93PA173Surplus$1.2M
Short term85WAR+2.3wRC+104PA540Surplus$4.5M
Control window85WAR+3.1wRC+109PA1070Surplus$5.2M
Full tenure99WAR+24.0wRC+137PA4203Surplus$107.9M

On the day: +3.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 109, salary $2.4M.

Zach StewartP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr48
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window51WAR+0.1FIP−108IP17Surplus−$0.1M
Full tenure51WAR+0.1FIP−108IP17Surplus−$0.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Josh Roenickepre-arb$400K$0.6M-0.3—−$1.7M
Edwin Encarnaciónsigned$2.4M$8.7M+3.1$2.8M$5.2M
Zach Stewartprospectest.$0.5M+0.1—−$0.1M
Total over the control window$9.8M+2.9$3.4M$3.4M

What this became

  1. Zach Stewart → CHWMark Teahen, CHW ⇄ TOR, 2011-0.7 WAR
  2. Jason Frasor → TORJason Frasor, CHW ⇄ TOR, 2012+0.3 WAR
  3. Zach Stewart → BOSKevin Youkilis, BOS ⇄ CHW, 2012-0.5 WAR
  4. Brent Lillibridge → CLEBOS ⇄ CLE, 2012-0.1 WAR
  5. Zach Stewart → PITBOS ⇄ PIT, 20120.0 WAR
  6. Myles Jaye → TEXCHW ⇄ TEX, 20150.0 WAR
  7. Myles Jaye → DETBryan Holaday, DET ⇄ TEX, 2016-0.4 WAR

Also that day

Jerry Hairston, CIN ⇄ NYY, 2009Cincinnati Reds ⇄ New York YankeesClaudio Vargas, LAD ⇄ MIL, 2009Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersRyan Mattheus, COL ⇄ WSN, 2009Colorado Rockies ⇄ Washington NationalsDET ⇄ SEA, 2009Detroit Tigers ⇄ Seattle MarinersNick Johnson, MIA ⇄ WSN, 2009Miami Marlins ⇄ Washington NationalsJustin Masterson, BOS ⇄ CLE, 2009Boston Red Sox ⇄ Cleveland GuardiansOrlando Cabrera, MIN ⇄ OAK, 2009Minnesota Twins ⇄ AthleticsJake Peavy, CHW ⇄ SDP, 2009Chicago White Sox ⇄ San Diego PadresAdam LaRoche, ATL ⇄ BOS, 2009Atlanta Braves ⇄ Boston Red Sox

The web around this trade

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