March 31, 2009

Jeff Keppinger and 1 others: Cincinnati RedsHouston Astros

Jeff Keppinger stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
17far worse
Franchise trade score17
Rest of season26WAR in-0.0WAR out+0.1Net-0.1Net surplus−$0.4M
Short term15WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.1Net-1.0Net surplus−$4.2M
Control window17WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.6Net-1.4Net surplus−$3.8M
Full tenure18WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.6Net-1.4Net surplus−$3.8M
Houston Astros
franchise trade score
83far better
Franchise trade score83
Rest of season74WAR in+0.1WAR out-0.0Net+0.1Net surplus$0.4M
Short term85WAR in+1.1WAR out+0.1Net+1.0Net surplus$4.2M
Control window83WAR in+1.6WAR out+0.1Net+1.4Net surplus$3.8M
Full tenure82WAR in+1.6WAR out+0.1Net+1.4Net surplus$3.8M

Cincinnati Reds received

Drew Sutton2B · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr53
Rest of season19WAR-0.0wRC+70PA76Surplus−$0.4M
Short term53WAR+0.1wRC+88PA79Surplus−$0.2M
Control window52WAR+0.1wRC+88PA79Surplus−$0.2M
Full tenure52WAR+0.1wRC+88PA79Surplus−$0.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: no major-league record, salary $400K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Drew Suttonpre-arb$400K$0.7M+0.1−$0.2M
Total over the control window$0.7M+0.1−$0.2M

Houston Astros received

Jeff Keppinger2B · 29 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+1.6WAR (control) · 3 yr77
Rest of season57WAR+0.1wRC+87PA344Surplus−$0.0M
Short term77WAR+1.1wRC+98PA919Surplus$4.0M
Control window77WAR+1.6wRC+99PA1089Surplus$3.6M
Full tenure76WAR+1.6wRC+99PA1089Surplus$3.6M

On the day: +0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 69, salary $428K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jeff Keppingerpre-arb$428K$3.8M+1.6$2.4M$3.6M
Total over the control window$3.8M+1.6$2.4M$3.6M

What this became

  1. Jeff Keppinger → SFGHOU ⇄ SFG, 2011-0.6 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
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