November 7, 2007

Michael Bourn and 4 others: Houston AstrosPhiladelphia Phillies

Houston Astros came out ahead by 11.0 WAR, most of it from Michael Bourn.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
94far better
Franchise trade score94
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term13WAR in+0.8WAR out+2.4Net-1.6Net surplus−$4.5M
Control window98WAR in+12.3WAR out+1.3Net+11.0Net surplus$66.0M
Full tenure99WAR in+12.3WAR out+0.9Net+11.4Net surplus$97.8M
Philadelphia Phillies
franchise trade score
6far worse
Franchise trade score6
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term87WAR in+2.4WAR out+0.8Net+1.6Net surplus$4.5M
Control window2WAR in+1.3WAR out+12.3Net-11.0Net surplus−$66.0M
Full tenure1WAR in+0.9WAR out+12.3Net-11.4Net surplus−$97.8M

PHI won the World Series in 2008

Houston Astros received

Michael BournCF · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+11.9WAR (control) · 4 yr73
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term15WAR-0.3wRC+58PA514Surplus−$1.4M
Control window90WAR+11.9wRC+90PA2270Surplus$67.3M
Full tenure89WAR+11.9wRC+90PA2270Surplus$67.3M

On the day: -0.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -7, salary $380K.

Geoff GearyP · 31 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 2 yr68
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term81WAR+1.1FIP−86IP64Surplus$4.0M
Control window65WAR+0.4FIP−100IP84Surplus$0.4M
Full tenure65WAR+0.4FIP−100IP84Surplus$0.4M

On the day: +2.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 89, FIP− 76, salary $838K.

Mike Costanzo1B · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for HOU

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Michael Bournpre-arb$380K$7.6M+11.9$0.6M$67.3M
Geoff Gearyarb 2$838K$2.8M+0.4—$0.4M
Mike Costanzoprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Total over the control window$10.5M+12.3$0.8M$67.7M

Philadelphia Phillies received

Brad LidgeP · 31 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+2.3WAR (control) · 1 yr88
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term91WAR+2.3FIP−55IP69Surplus$7.2M
Control window87WAR+2.3FIP−55IP69Surplus$7.2M
Full tenure60WAR+1.9FIP−89IP193Surplus−$24.5M

On the day: +5.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 83, salary $5.3M.

Eric BruntlettSS · 29 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 2 yr14
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR+0.1wRC+55PA238Surplus−$0.2M
Control window3WAR-1.0wRC+42PA356Surplus−$5.6M
Full tenure4WAR-1.0wRC+42PA356Surplus−$5.6M

On the day: +1.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 83.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Brad Lidgearb 3$5.3M$6.3M+2.3$2.7M$7.2M
Eric Bruntlettarb 2est.$1.4M-1.0—−$5.6M
Total over the control window$7.8M+1.3$6.0M$1.7M

What this became

  1. Mike Costanzo → BALLuke Scott, BAL ⇄ HOU, 20070.0 WAR
  2. Michael Bourn → ATLMichael Bourn, ATL ⇄ HOU, 2011+6.6 WAR
  3. Troy Patton → SDPNick Hundley, BAL ⇄ SDP, 2014+0.1 WAR
  4. Brett Oberholtzer → PHIVince Velasquez, HOU ⇄ PHI, 2015-0.2 WAR
  5. Ken Giles → TORRoberto Osuna, HOU ⇄ TOR, 2018+1.9 WAR
  6. Thomas Eshelman → BALBAL ⇄ PHI, 2019-0.3 WAR
  7. Hector Perez → CINCIN ⇄ TOR, 20210.0 WAR

The web around this trade

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