July 13, 2006

Austin Kearns and 7 others: Cincinnati RedsWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals came out ahead by 5.1 WAR, most of it from Austin Kearns.

Cincinnati Reds

franchise trade score

6far worse

Franchise trade score6

Rest of season2WAR in-0.3WAR out+2.2Net-2.5Net surplus−$9.3M

Short term3WAR in-0.6WAR out+4.7Net-5.3Net surplus−$17.7M

Control window5WAR in-0.1WAR out+5.0Net-5.1Net surplus−$23.8M

Full tenure59WAR in-0.1WAR out+2.5Net-2.6Net surplus$4.3M

Washington Nationals

franchise trade score

94far better

Franchise trade score94

Rest of season98WAR in+2.2WAR out-0.3Net+2.5Net surplus$9.3M

Short term97WAR in+4.7WAR out-0.6Net+5.3Net surplus$17.7M

Control window95WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.1Net+5.1Net surplus$23.8M

Full tenure41WAR in+2.5WAR out-0.1Net+2.6Net surplus−$4.3M

Cincinnati Reds received

Gary MajewskiP · 26 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 3 yr12

Rest of season14WAR-0.2FIP−90IP15Surplus−$0.7M

Short term17WAR-0.6FIP−97IP38Surplus−$2.4M

Control window11WAR-1.0FIP−106IP78Surplus−$4.2M

Full tenure12WAR-1.0FIP−106IP78Surplus−$4.2M

On the day: +1.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 90, salary $352K.

Royce ClaytonSS · 36 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control-0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr17

Rest of season9WAR-0.3wRC+57PA164Surplus−$1.4M

Short term15WAR-0.3wRC+57PA164Surplus−$1.4M

Control window17WAR-0.3wRC+57PA164Surplus−$1.4M

Full tenure18WAR-0.3wRC+57PA164Surplus−$1.4M

On the day: +0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 73, salary $1.0M.

Bill BrayP · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+1.6WAR (control) · 6 yr77

Rest of season81WAR+0.2FIP−83IP28Surplus$0.7M

Short term70WAR+0.3FIP−78IP42Surplus$0.6M

Control window80WAR+1.6FIP−89IP174Surplus$2.7M

Full tenure79WAR+1.6FIP−89IP174Surplus$2.7M

Brendan HarrisSS · 26 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 1 yr29

Rest of season17WAR-0.1wRC+89PA11Surplus−$0.5M

Short term27WAR-0.1wRC+89PA11Surplus−$0.5M

Control window29WAR-0.1wRC+89PA11Surplus−$0.5M

Full tenure30WAR-0.1wRC+89PA11Surplus−$0.5M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 207.

Daryl ThompsonP · 21 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr22

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window16WAR-0.3FIP−160IP17Surplus−$1.7M

Full tenure17WAR-0.3FIP−160IP17Surplus−$1.7M

too little playing time to rate quality

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Gary Majewski	pre-arb	$352K	$0.9M	-1.0	—	−$4.2M
Royce Clayton	signed (FA)	$1.0M	$0.4M	-0.3	—	−$1.4M
Bill Bray	pre-arb	est.	$3.4M	+1.6	$2.1M	$2.7M
Brendan Harris	pre-arb	est.	$0.1M	-0.1	—	−$0.5M
Daryl Thompson	prospect	est.	$0.9M	-0.3	—	−$1.7M
Total over the control window			$5.8M	-0.1	—	−$5.1M

Washington Nationals received

Austin KearnsRF · 26 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+4.9WAR (control) · 2 yr91

Rest of season94WAR+1.9wRC+116PA261Surplus$7.6M

Short term93WAR+4.9wRC+107PA935Surplus$19.9M

Control window90WAR+4.9wRC+107PA935Surplus$19.9M

Full tenure83WAR+4.2wRC+94PA1503Surplus$7.1M

On the day: +3.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 103, salary $1.9M.

Felipe LópezSS · 26 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.4WAR (control) · 1 yr63

Rest of season78WAR+0.4wRC+97PA320Surplus$0.3M

Short term40WAR+0.1wRC+82PA991Surplus−$4.4M

Control window64WAR+0.4wRC+97PA320Surplus$0.3M

Full tenure4WAR-1.4wRC+77PA1354Surplus−$15.0M

On the day: +5.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 117, salary $2.7M.

Ryan WagnerP · 24 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr20

Rest of season20WAR-0.1FIP−109IP31Surplus−$0.5M

Short term19WAR-0.3FIP−114IP46Surplus−$1.5M

Control window21WAR-0.3FIP−114IP46Surplus−$1.5M

Full tenure22WAR-0.3FIP−114IP46Surplus−$1.5M

On the day: +0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 87.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Austin Kearns	arb 2	$1.9M	$4.3M	+4.9	$0.9M	$19.9M
Felipe López	arb 3	$2.7M	$1.1M	+0.4	—	$0.3M
Ryan Wagner	arb 1	est.	$0.6M	-0.3	—	−$1.5M
Total over the control window			$6.0M	+5.0	$1.2M	$18.7M

What this became

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

The web around this trade

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