July 30, 2004

Scott Kazmir and 3 others: New York MetsTampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays got 16.2 WAR out of Scott Kazmir over 6 seasons. New York Mets got 1.1 from the whole return.

New York Mets
franchise trade score
2far worse
Franchise trade score2
Rest of season69WAR in+0.4WAR out+0.3Net+0.1Net surplus$0.0M
Short term7WAR in+1.8WAR out+3.8Net-2.0Net surplus−$13.3M
Control window1WAR in+1.1WAR out+16.2Net-15.1Net surplus−$74.6M
Full tenure2WAR in+1.1WAR out+16.2Net-15.1Net surplus−$74.6M
Tampa Bay Rays
franchise trade score
98far better
Franchise trade score98
Rest of season31WAR in+0.3WAR out+0.4Net-0.1Net surplus−$0.0M
Short term93WAR in+3.8WAR out+1.8Net+2.0Net surplus$13.3M
Control window99WAR in+16.2WAR out+1.1Net+15.1Net surplus$74.6M
Full tenure98WAR in+16.2WAR out+1.1Net+15.1Net surplus$74.6M

TBR reached the World Series in 2008

New York Mets received

Bartolomé FortunatoP · 30 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr29
Rest of season78WAR+0.1FIP−101IP19Surplus$0.3M
Short term62WAR+0.1FIP−101IP19Surplus$0.3M
Control window20WAR-0.3FIP−133IP22Surplus−$1.2M
Full tenure20WAR-0.3FIP−133IP22Surplus−$1.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

Víctor ZambranoP · 29 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+1.4WAR (control) · 3 yr74
Rest of season80WAR+0.2FIP−53IP14Surplus$0.5M
Short term81WAR+1.6FIP−98IP180Surplus$3.8M
Control window73WAR+1.4FIP−103IP202Surplus$0.5M
Full tenure72WAR+1.4FIP−103IP202Surplus$0.5M

On the day: +2.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 115, salary $325K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Bartolomé Fortunatopre-arbest.$0.5M-0.3—−$1.2M
Víctor Zambranoarb 1$325K$5.2M+1.4$3.8M$0.5M
Total over the control window$5.7M+1.1$5.1M−$0.7M

Tampa Bay Rays received

Scott KazmirP · 20 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+16.2WAR (control) · 6 yr95
Rest of season80WAR+0.3FIP−94IP33Surplus$0.7M
Short term93WAR+3.8FIP−88IP219Surplus$17.4M
Control window96WAR+16.2FIP−89IP834Surplus$73.9M
Full tenure96WAR+16.2FIP−89IP834Surplus$73.9M
Jose DíazP · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for TBR

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Scott Kazmirpre-arbest.$11.0M+16.2$0.7M$73.9M
Jose Díazprospectest.$0.0M0.0—$0.0M
Total over the control window$11.0M+16.2$0.7M$73.9M

What this became

  1. Scott Kazmir → LAASean Rodríguez, LAA ⇄ TBR, 2009-0.0 WAR
  2. Alex Torres → SDPLogan Forsythe, SDP ⇄ TBR, 2014-0.1 WAR
  3. Sean Rodríguez → PITPIT ⇄ TBR, 2014-0.2 WAR
  4. Jesse Hahn → OAKDerek Norris, OAK ⇄ SDP, 2014+1.6 WAR
  5. Alex Torres → NYMNYM ⇄ SDP, 2015-0.3 WAR
  6. Logan Forsythe → LADLogan Forsythe, LAD ⇄ TBR, 2017+0.7 WAR
  7. Brad Boxberger → ARIARI ⇄ TBR, 2017-0.6 WAR
  8. Matt Andriese → ARIMichael Pérez, ARI ⇄ TBR, 2018-0.4 WAR
  9. Derek Norris → WSNPedro Avila, SDP ⇄ WSN, 20160.0 WAR
  10. Jesse Hahn → KCRRyan Buchter, KCR ⇄ OAK, 2018+0.1 WAR
  11. Logan Forsythe → MINDevin Smeltzer, LAD ⇄ MIN, 2018+0.3 WAR
  12. Brad Wieck → CHCBrad Wieck, CHC ⇄ SDP, 2019+0.6 WAR
  13. José De León → CINCIN ⇄ TBR, 2019-0.4 WAR
  14. Matt Andriese → LAAMatt Andriese, ARI ⇄ LAA, 2020+0.5 WAR

Also that day

José Bautista, KCR ⇄ NYM, 2004Kansas City Royals ⇄ New York MetsFélix Rodríguez, PHI ⇄ SFG, 2004Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ San Francisco GiantsJon Huber, SDP ⇄ SEA, 2004San Diego Padres ⇄ Seattle MarinersAnderson Machado, CIN ⇄ PHI, 2004Cincinnati Reds ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesBrad Penny, LAD ⇄ MIA, 2004Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Miami MarlinsKris Benson, NYM ⇄ PIT, 2004New York Mets ⇄ Pittsburgh Pirates

The web around this trade

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All NYM ⇄ TBR tradesHow the scores work