March 31, 2004

Luke Scott and 1 others: Cleveland GuardiansHouston Astros

Houston Astros came out ahead by 5.2 WAR, most of it from Luke Scott.

franchise trade score

6far worse

Franchise trade score6

Rest of season7WAR in-1.0WAR out0.0Net-1.0Net surplus−$4.1M

Short term21WAR in-1.0WAR out-0.4Net-0.7Net surplus−$2.7M

Control window5WAR in-1.0WAR out+4.2Net-5.2Net surplus−$21.3M

Full tenure6WAR in-1.0WAR out+4.2Net-5.2Net surplus−$21.3M

franchise trade score

94far better

Franchise trade score94

Rest of season93WAR in0.0WAR out-1.0Net+1.0Net surplus$4.1M

Short term79WAR in-0.4WAR out-1.0Net+0.7Net surplus$2.7M

Control window95WAR in+4.2WAR out-1.0Net+5.2Net surplus$21.3M

Full tenure94WAR in+4.2WAR out-1.0Net+5.2Net surplus$21.3M

HOU reached the World Series in 2005

Cleveland Guardians received

Jeriome RobertsonP · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 1 yr4

Rest of season1WAR-1.0FIP−207IP14Surplus−$4.1M

Short term3WAR-1.0FIP−207IP14Surplus−$4.1M

Control window4WAR-1.0FIP−207IP14Surplus−$4.1M

Full tenure5WAR-1.0FIP−207IP14Surplus−$4.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: 0.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -15, FIP− 114.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Jeriome Robertson	pre-arb	est.	$0.2M	-1.0	—	−$4.1M
Total over the control window			$0.2M	-1.0	—	−$4.1M

Luke ScottDH · 26 · prospect · 6 yrs control+4.2WAR (control) · 3 yr76

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term14WAR-0.4wRC+44PA89Surplus−$1.4M

Control window91WAR+4.2wRC+125PA763Surplus$17.3M

Full tenure90WAR+4.2wRC+125PA763Surplus$17.3M

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Luke Scott	prospect	est.	$1.1M	+4.2	$0.3M	$17.3M
Total over the control window			$1.1M	+4.2	$0.3M	$17.3M

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