March 25, 2004

Juan Cruz and 3 others: Atlanta BravesChicago Cubs

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Atlanta Braves

franchise trade score

81far better

Franchise trade score81

Rest of season92WAR in+0.9WAR out-0.3Net+1.2Net surplus$3.3M

Short term83WAR in+0.9WAR out-0.3Net+1.2Net surplus$3.3M

Control window81WAR in+0.9WAR out-0.3Net+1.2Net surplus$3.3M

Full tenure80WAR in+0.9WAR out-0.3Net+1.2Net surplus$3.3M

Chicago Cubs

franchise trade score

19far worse

Franchise trade score19

Rest of season8WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.9Net-1.2Net surplus−$3.3M

Short term17WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.9Net-1.2Net surplus−$3.3M

Control window19WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.9Net-1.2Net surplus−$3.3M

Full tenure20WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.9Net-1.2Net surplus−$3.3M

Atlanta Braves received

Juan CruzP · 26 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+0.9WAR (control) · 1 yr77

Rest of season89WAR+0.9FIP−85IP72Surplus$2.3M

Short term78WAR+0.9FIP−85IP72Surplus$2.3M

Control window76WAR+0.9FIP−85IP72Surplus$2.3M

Full tenure75WAR+0.9FIP−85IP72Surplus$2.3M

On the day: +0.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 64, FIP− 94, salary $370K.

Steve SmythP · 26 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for ATL

On the day: -2.2 WAR over the prior three seasons.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Juan Cruz	arb 1	$370K	$0.3M	+0.9	$0.3M	$2.3M
Steve Smyth	pre-arb	est.	$0.0M	0.0	—	$0.0M
Total over the control window			$0.3M	+0.9	$0.3M	$2.3M

Chicago Cubs received

Andy PrattP · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr20

Rest of season11WAR-0.3FIP−368IP2Surplus−$1.0M

Short term19WAR-0.3FIP−368IP2Surplus−$1.0M

Control window20WAR-0.3FIP−368IP2Surplus−$1.0M

Full tenure21WAR-0.3FIP−368IP2Surplus−$1.0M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, salary $300K.

Richard Lewis—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Andy Pratt	pre-arb	$300K	$0.2M	-0.3	—	−$1.0M
Total over the control window			$0.2M	-0.3	—	−$1.0M

What this became

Andy Pratt → MILBen Grieve, CHC ⇄ MIL, 20040.0 WAR
Juan Cruz → OAKTim Hudson, ATL ⇄ OAK, 2004-0.6 WAR
Juan Cruz → ARIJuan Cruz, ARI ⇄ OAK, 2006+1.5 WAR
Charles Thomas → MILMIL ⇄ OAK, 20070.0 WAR

Also that day

Mike Lamb, HOU ⇄ NYY, 2004Houston Astros ⇄ New York Yankees

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

All ATL ⇄ CHC trades How the scores work