January 8, 2004

Carlos Guillén and 2 others: Detroit TigersSeattle Mariners

Detroit Tigers came out ahead by 5.2 WAR, most of it from Carlos Guillén.

franchise trade score

97far better

Franchise trade score97

Rest of season100WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.3Net+5.3Net surplus$27.4M

Short term99WAR in+7.3WAR out-0.2Net+7.5Net surplus$34.2M

Control window96WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.2Net+5.2Net surplus$27.6M

Full tenure98WAR in+18.5WAR out-0.2Net+18.7Net surplus$53.6M

DET reached the World Series in 2006

franchise trade score

3far worse

Franchise trade score3

Rest of season0WAR in-0.3WAR out+5.0Net-5.3Net surplus−$27.4M

Short term1WAR in-0.2WAR out+7.3Net-7.5Net surplus−$34.2M

Control window4WAR in-0.2WAR out+5.0Net-5.2Net surplus−$27.6M

Full tenure2WAR in-0.2WAR out+18.5Net-18.7Net surplus−$53.6M

Detroit Tigers received

Carlos GuillénSS · 29 · FA eligible · 1 yr control+5.0WAR (control) · 1 yr95

Rest of season99WAR+5.0wRC+141PA583Surplus$26.4M

Short term98WAR+7.3wRC+131PA944Surplus$33.0M

Control window93WAR+5.0wRC+141PA583Surplus$26.4M

Full tenure97WAR+18.5wRC+120PA3384Surplus$52.4M

On the day: +7.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 106, salary $2.5M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Carlos Guillén	FA eligible	$2.5M	$2.3M	+5.0	$0.5M	$26.4M
Total over the control window			$2.3M	+5.0	$0.5M	$26.4M

Ramón SantiagoSS · 25 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 2 yr21

Rest of season11WAR-0.3wRC+28PA45Surplus−$1.0M

Short term19WAR-0.2wRC+43PA58Surplus−$1.2M

Control window21WAR-0.2wRC+43PA58Surplus−$1.2M

Full tenure22WAR-0.2wRC+43PA58Surplus−$1.2M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 58.

Juan Gonzalez—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Ramón Santiago	pre-arb	est.	$0.6M	-0.2	—	−$1.2M
Total over the control window			$0.6M	-0.2	—	−$1.2M

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

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