January 5, 2004

Ryan Church and 2 others: Cleveland GuardiansWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals came out ahead by 6.1 WAR, most of it from Ryan Church.

Cleveland Guardians
franchise trade score
5far worse
Franchise trade score5
Rest of season78WAR in-0.3WAR out-0.6Net+0.3Net surplus$0.7M
Short term13WAR in-0.3WAR out+1.0Net-1.3Net surplus−$5.0M
Control window4WAR in-0.3WAR out+5.8Net-6.1Net surplus−$25.2M
Full tenure5WAR in-0.3WAR out+5.8Net-6.1Net surplus−$25.2M
Washington Nationals
franchise trade score
95far better
Franchise trade score95
Rest of season22WAR in-0.6WAR out-0.3Net-0.3Net surplus−$0.7M
Short term87WAR in+1.0WAR out-0.3Net+1.3Net surplus$5.0M
Control window96WAR in+5.8WAR out-0.3Net+6.1Net surplus$25.2M
Full tenure95WAR in+5.8WAR out-0.3Net+6.1Net surplus$25.2M

Cleveland Guardians received

Scott StewartP · 29 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr17
Rest of season9WAR-0.3FIP−83IP14Surplus−$1.6M
Short term15WAR-0.3FIP−83IP14Surplus−$1.6M
Control window17WAR-0.3FIP−83IP14Surplus−$1.6M
Full tenure18WAR-0.3FIP−83IP14Surplus−$1.6M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +1.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -100, FIP− 94, salary $850K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Scott Stewartarb 1$850K$0.8M-0.3—−$1.6M
Total over the control window$0.8M-0.3—−$1.6M

Washington Nationals received

Ryan ChurchRF · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+6.1WAR (control) · 4 yr90
Rest of season11WAR-0.3wRC+24PA71Surplus−$1.0M
Short term80WAR+1.4wRC+101PA372Surplus$4.7M
Control window92WAR+6.1wRC+112PA1132Surplus$24.9M
Full tenure91WAR+6.1wRC+112PA1132Surplus$24.9M
Maicer Izturis3B · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr15
Rest of season8WAR-0.3wRC+53PA121Surplus−$1.3M
Short term14WAR-0.3wRC+53PA121Surplus−$1.3M
Control window15WAR-0.3wRC+53PA121Surplus−$1.3M
Full tenure16WAR-0.3wRC+53PA121Surplus−$1.3M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ryan Churchpre-arbest.$1.4M+6.1$0.2M$24.9M
Maicer Izturispre-arbest.$0.3M-0.3—−$1.3M
Total over the control window$1.7M+5.8$0.3M$23.6M

What this became

  1. Maicer Izturis → LAAMaicer Izturis, LAA ⇄ WSN, 2004+10.0 WAR
  2. Ryan Church → NYMRyan Church, NYM ⇄ WSN, 2007+2.2 WAR
  3. Lastings Milledge → PITJoel Hanrahan, PIT ⇄ WSN, 2009+1.0 WAR
  4. Ryan Church → ATLJeff Francoeur, ATL ⇄ NYM, 2009+0.7 WAR
  5. Juan Rivera → TORVernon Wells, LAA ⇄ TOR, 2011-0.3 WAR
  6. Jeff Francoeur → TEXJeff Francoeur, NYM ⇄ TEX, 2010+0.3 WAR
  7. Mike Napoli → TEXMike Napoli, TEX ⇄ TOR, 2011+6.0 WAR
  8. Nyjer Morgan → MILNyjer Morgan, MIL ⇄ WSN, 2011+3.0 WAR
  9. Joel Hanrahan → BOSMark Melancon, BOS ⇄ PIT, 2012-0.6 WAR
  10. Vernon Wells → NYYLAA ⇄ NYY, 2013-0.2 WAR
  11. Mark Melancon → WSNFelipe Vázquez, PIT ⇄ WSN, 2016+1.1 WAR

The web around this trade

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