July 30, 2003

Scott Williamson and 2 others: Boston Red SoxCincinnati Reds

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

franchise trade score

77better

Franchise trade score77

Rest of season42WAR in+0.1WAR out0.0Net+0.1Net surplus−$0.4M

Short term47WAR in+0.9WAR out0.0Net+0.9Net surplus−$1.2M

Control window78WAR in+0.9WAR out-1.0Net+1.9Net surplus$1.6M

Full tenure77WAR in+0.9WAR out-1.0Net+1.9Net surplus$1.6M

BOS won the World Series in 2004

franchise trade score

23worse

Franchise trade score23

Rest of season58WAR in0.0WAR out+0.1Net-0.1Net surplus$0.4M

Short term53WAR in0.0WAR out+0.9Net-0.9Net surplus$1.2M

Control window22WAR in-1.0WAR out+0.9Net-1.9Net surplus−$1.6M

Full tenure23WAR in-1.0WAR out+0.9Net-1.9Net surplus−$1.6M

Boston Red Sox received

Scott WilliamsonP · 27 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+0.9WAR (control) · 2 yr64

Rest of season58WAR+0.1FIP−67IP20Surplus−$0.4M

Short term65WAR+0.9FIP−72IP49Surplus−$1.2M

Control window63WAR+0.9FIP−72IP49Surplus−$1.2M

Full tenure63WAR+0.9FIP−72IP49Surplus−$1.2M

On the day: +3.8 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 72, salary $1.6M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Scott Williamson	arb 2	$1.6M	$3.8M	+0.9	$4.4M	−$1.2M
Total over the control window			$3.8M	+0.9	$4.4M	−$1.2M

Phil DumatraitP · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control-1.0WAR (control) · 1 yr15

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window6WAR-1.0FIP−189IP18Surplus−$2.8M

Full tenure6WAR-1.0FIP−189IP18Surplus−$2.8M

too little playing time to rate quality

Tyler Pelland—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Phil Dumatrait	prospect	est.	$0.4M	-1.0	—	−$2.8M
Total over the control window			$0.4M	-1.0	—	−$2.8M

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

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