July 4, 1998

Jay Powell and 2 others: Houston AstrosMiami Marlins

Jay Powell stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

franchise trade score

79better

Franchise trade score79

Rest of season89WAR in+1.0WAR out0.0Net+1.0Net surplus$2.1M

Short term84WAR in+1.8WAR out+0.1Net+1.7Net surplus$2.8M

Control window79WAR in+1.9WAR out+0.4Net+1.5Net surplus$2.1M

Full tenure75WAR in+2.1WAR out+0.4Net+1.7Net surplus$1.3M

franchise trade score

21worse

Franchise trade score21

Rest of season11WAR in0.0WAR out+1.0Net-1.0Net surplus−$2.1M

Short term16WAR in+0.1WAR out+1.8Net-1.7Net surplus−$2.8M

Control window21WAR in+0.4WAR out+1.9Net-1.5Net surplus−$2.1M

Full tenure25WAR in+0.4WAR out+2.1Net-1.7Net surplus−$1.3M

MIA won the World Series in 2003

Houston Astros received

Jay PowellP · 26 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+1.9WAR (control) · 3 yr82

Rest of season92WAR+1.0FIP−66IP34Surplus$2.1M

Short term86WAR+1.8FIP−73IP109Surplus$2.7M

Control window82WAR+1.9FIP−77IP136Surplus$1.8M

Full tenure80WAR+2.1FIP−82IP172Surplus$1.0M

On the day: +1.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 178, FIP− 78, salary $320K.

Scott Makarewicz—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Jay Powell	arb 1	$320K	$2.2M	+1.9	$1.2M	$1.8M
Total over the control window			$2.2M	+1.9	$1.2M	$1.8M

Ramón CastroC · 22 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 6 yr48

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term52WAR+0.1wRC+47PA78Surplus−$0.1M

Control window50WAR+0.4wRC+66PA531Surplus−$0.3M

Full tenure50WAR+0.4wRC+66PA531Surplus−$0.3M

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Ramón Castro	prospect	est.	$1.6M	+0.4	—	−$0.3M
Total over the control window			$1.6M	+0.4	—	−$0.3M

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