December 26, 1995

David Wells and 2 others: Baltimore OriolesCincinnati Reds

Baltimore Orioles came out ahead by 3.6 WAR, most of it from David Wells.

Baltimore Orioles
franchise trade score
87far better
Franchise trade score87
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term90WAR in+3.2WAR out-0.9Net+4.1Net surplus$4.7M
Control window87WAR in+3.2WAR out-0.5Net+3.6Net surplus$4.3M
Full tenure85WAR in+3.2WAR out-0.5Net+3.6Net surplus$4.3M
Cincinnati Reds
franchise trade score
13far worse
Franchise trade score13
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term10WAR in-0.9WAR out+3.2Net-4.1Net surplus−$4.7M
Control window13WAR in-0.5WAR out+3.2Net-3.6Net surplus−$4.3M
Full tenure15WAR in-0.5WAR out+3.2Net-3.6Net surplus−$4.3M

Baltimore Orioles received

David WellsP · 32 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+3.2WAR (control) · 1 yr85
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term88WAR+3.2FIP−94IP224Surplus$3.5M
Control window84WAR+3.2FIP−94IP224Surplus$3.5M
Full tenure83WAR+3.2FIP−94IP224Surplus$3.5M

On the day: +5.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 84, salary $2.2M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
David Wellssigned (FA)$2.2M$3.2M+3.2$1.0M$3.5M
Total over the control window$3.2M+3.2$1.0M$3.5M

Cincinnati Reds received

Curtis GoodwinCF · 23 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.5WAR (control) · 2 yr14
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term8WAR-0.9wRC+61PA156Surplus−$1.3M
Control window16WAR-0.5wRC+65PA453Surplus−$0.8M
Full tenure16WAR-0.5wRC+65PA453Surplus−$0.8M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $109K.

Trovin ValdezWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Curtis Goodwinpre-arb$109K$0.3M-0.5−$0.8M
Total over the control window$0.3M-0.5−$0.8M

What this became

  1. Curtis Goodwin → COLCIN ⇄ COL, 1997-0.4 WAR

The web around this trade

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