July 31, 2025

Louis Varland and 3 others: Minnesota TwinsToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays came out ahead by 3.2 WAR, most of it from Louis Varland.

Minnesota Twins
franchise trade score · provisional
5far worse
Franchise trade score5
Rest of season8WAR in-0.3WAR out+0.3Net-0.7Net surplus−$4.5M
Short term3WAR in+0.2WAR out+3.4Net-3.2Net surplus−$33.9M
Control window5WAR in+0.2WAR out+3.4Net-3.2Net surplus−$33.9M
Full tenure6WAR in+0.2WAR out+3.4Net-3.2Net surplus−$33.9M
Toronto Blue Jays
franchise trade score · provisional
95far better
Franchise trade score95
Rest of season92WAR in+0.3WAR out-0.3Net+0.7Net surplus$4.5M
Short term97WAR in+3.4WAR out+0.2Net+3.2Net surplus$33.9M
Control window95WAR in+3.4WAR out+0.2Net+3.2Net surplus$33.9M
Full tenure94WAR in+3.4WAR out+0.2Net+3.2Net surplus$33.9M

TOR reached the World Series in 2025

Minnesota Twins received

Kendry RojasP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr70
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term73WAR+0.5FIP−98IP30Surplus$2.9M
Control window69WAR+0.5FIP−98IP30Surplus$2.9M
Full tenure69WAR+0.5FIP−98IP30Surplus$2.9M

too little playing time to rate quality

Alan RodenRF · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control-0.3WAR (control) · 2 yr15
Rest of season7WAR-0.3wRC+27PA40Surplus−$2.8M
Short term14WAR-0.3wRC+66PA119Surplus−$2.6M
Control window15WAR-0.3wRC+66PA119Surplus−$2.6M
Full tenure15WAR-0.3wRC+66PA119Surplus−$2.6M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $760K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Kendry Rojasprospectest.$0.1M+0.5—$2.9M
Alan Rodenpre-arb$760K$0.4M-0.3—−$2.6M
Total over the control window$0.5M+0.2—$0.3M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Ty France1B · 31 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr61
Rest of season76WAR+0.2wRC+92PA103Surplus$1.2M
Short term63WAR+0.2wRC+92PA103Surplus$1.2M
Control window61WAR+0.2wRC+92PA103Surplus$1.2M
Full tenure61WAR+0.2wRC+92PA103Surplus$1.2M

On the day: +2.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 95, salary $1.0M.

Louis VarlandP · 28 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+3.1WAR (control) · 2 yr92
Rest of season77WAR+0.1FIP−84IP24Surplus$0.4M
Short term95WAR+3.1FIP−55IP96Surplus$33.0M
Control window91WAR+3.1FIP−55IP96Surplus$33.0M
Full tenure90WAR+3.1FIP−55IP96Surplus$33.0M

On the day: -0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 138, salary $768K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ty Francearb 3$1.0M$0.4M+0.2—$1.2M
Louis Varlandpre-arb$768K$1.1M+3.1$0.4M$33.0M
Total over the control window$1.6M+3.4$0.5M$34.2M

What this became

Nobody acquired here was traded on.

Also that day

Jim Jarvis, ATL ⇄ DET, 2025Atlanta Braves ⇄ Detroit TigersCHC ⇄ WSN, 2025Chicago Cubs ⇄ Washington NationalsBlaze Jordan, BOS ⇄ STL, 2025Boston Red Sox ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsShane Bieber, CLE ⇄ TOR, 2025Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysRamón Urías, BAL ⇄ HOU, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Houston AstrosCLE ⇄ DET, 2025Cleveland Guardians ⇄ Detroit TigersAndrew Kittredge, BAL ⇄ CHC, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Chicago CubsEugenio Suárez, ARI ⇄ SEA, 2025Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Seattle MarinersPaul Gervase, LAD ⇄ TBR, 2025Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysMason Miller, OAK ⇄ SDP, 2025Athletics ⇄ San Diego PadresKyle Finnegan, DET ⇄ WSN, 2025Detroit Tigers ⇄ Washington NationalsHarrison Bader, MIN ⇄ PHI, 2025Minnesota Twins ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesFreddy Fermin, KCR ⇄ SDP, 2025Kansas City Royals ⇄ San Diego PadresAnthony Nunez, BAL ⇄ NYM, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ New York MetsBrandon Valenzuela, SDP ⇄ TOR, 2025San Diego Padres ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysBrock Stewart, LAD ⇄ MIN, 2025Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Minnesota TwinsMIN ⇄ TEX, 2025Minnesota Twins ⇄ Texas RangersCOL ⇄ NYY, 2025Colorado Rockies ⇄ New York YankeesEvan Sisk, KCR ⇄ PIT, 2025Kansas City Royals ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesMiguel Andújar, CIN ⇄ OAK, 2025Cincinnati Reds ⇄ AthleticsCarlos Correa, HOU ⇄ MIN, 2025Houston Astros ⇄ Minnesota TwinsAlex Call, LAD ⇄ WSN, 2025Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Washington NationalsRyan Gusto, HOU ⇄ MIA, 2025Houston Astros ⇄ Miami MarlinsOswald Peraza, LAA ⇄ NYY, 2025Los Angeles Angels ⇄ New York YankeesDET ⇄ PHI, 2025Detroit Tigers ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesMike Yastrzemski, KCR ⇄ SFG, 2025Kansas City Royals ⇄ San Francisco GiantsJosé Caballero, NYY ⇄ TBR, 2025New York Yankees ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysTaj Bradley, MIN ⇄ TBR, 2025Minnesota Twins ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysRamón Laureano, BAL ⇄ SDP, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ San Diego PadresAdrian Houser, CHW ⇄ TBR, 2025Chicago White Sox ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysBrandon Lockridge, MIL ⇄ SDP, 2025Milwaukee Brewers ⇄ San Diego PadresPhil Maton, STL ⇄ TEX, 2025St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Texas RangersCHC ⇄ MIN, 2025Chicago Cubs ⇄ Minnesota TwinsDavid Bednar, NYY ⇄ PIT, 2025New York Yankees ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesCHC ⇄ PIT, 2025Chicago Cubs ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesMerrill Kelly, ARI ⇄ TEX, 2025Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Texas RangersNYY ⇄ SFG, 2025New York Yankees ⇄ San Francisco GiantsDET ⇄ TEX, 2025Detroit Tigers ⇄ Texas RangersBAL ⇄ DET, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Detroit TigersBOS ⇄ LAD, 2025Boston Red Sox ⇄ Los Angeles DodgersARI ⇄ MIL, 2025Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersDietrich Enns, BAL ⇄ DET, 2025Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Detroit Tigers

The web around this trade

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