June 15, 2025

Rafael Devers and 4 others: Boston Red SoxSan Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants came out ahead by 5.5 WAR, most of it from Rafael Devers.

Boston Red Sox

franchise trade score · provisional

5far worse

Franchise trade score5

Rest of season2WAR in-0.4WAR out+1.6Net-2.0Net surplus−$11.2M

Short term2WAR in-0.4WAR out+5.0Net-5.5Net surplus−$21.7M

Control window5WAR in-0.4WAR out+5.0Net-5.5Net surplus−$21.7M

Full tenure6WAR in-0.4WAR out+5.0Net-5.5Net surplus−$21.7M

San Francisco Giants

franchise trade score · provisional

95far better

Franchise trade score95

Rest of season98WAR in+1.6WAR out-0.4Net+2.0Net surplus$11.2M

Short term98WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.4Net+5.5Net surplus$21.7M

Control window95WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.4Net+5.5Net surplus$21.7M

Full tenure94WAR in+5.0WAR out-0.4Net+5.5Net surplus$21.7M

Boston Red Sox received

Jordan HicksP · 29 · signed (FA) · 3 yrs control-0.7WAR (control) · 1 yr4

Rest of season2WAR-0.7FIP−149IP19Surplus−$11.8M

Short term3WAR-0.7FIP−149IP19Surplus−$11.8M

Control window4WAR-0.7FIP−149IP19Surplus−$11.8M

Full tenure4WAR-0.7FIP−149IP19Surplus−$11.8M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +1.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 111, salary $12.5M, signed through 2027.

Jose Belloprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

James Tibbs IIIprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Kyle HarrisonP · 24 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+0.3WAR (control) · 1 yr67

Rest of season84WAR+0.3FIP−58IP12Surplus$2.1M

Short term70WAR+0.3FIP−58IP12Surplus$2.1M

Control window66WAR+0.3FIP−58IP12Surplus$2.1M

Full tenure66WAR+0.3FIP−58IP12Surplus$2.1M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: +1.4 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 110.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Jordan Hicks	signed (FA) thru 2027	$12.5M	$6.3M	-0.7	—	−$11.8M
Kyle Harrison	pre-arb	est.	$0.4M	+0.3	—	$2.1M
Total over the control window			$6.6M	-0.4	—	−$9.7M

San Francisco Giants received

Rafael Devers1B · 29 · signed (FA) · 9 yrs control+5.0WAR (control) · 2 yr93

Rest of season93WAR+1.6wRC+127PA395Surplus$1.5M

Short term96WAR+5.0wRC+131PA1019Surplus$12.0M

Control window92WAR+5.0wRC+131PA1019Surplus$12.0M

Full tenure91WAR+5.0wRC+131PA1019Surplus$12.0M

On the day: +12.2 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 137, salary $29.5M, signed through 2033.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Rafael Devers	signed (FA) thru 2033	$29.5M	$43.0M	+5.0	$8.5M	$12.0M
Total over the control window			$43.0M	+5.0	$8.5M	$12.0M

What this became

James Tibbs III → LADBOS ⇄ LAD, 2025— WAR
Jordan Hicks → CHWJordan Hicks, BOS ⇄ CHW, 2026+0.4 WAR
Kyle Harrison → MILCaleb Durbin, BOS ⇄ MIL, 2026+1.4 WAR

The web around this trade

loading the web…

player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

All BOS ⇄ SFG trades How the scores work