July 30, 2024

Trevor Rogers and 2 others: Baltimore OriolesMiami Marlins

Trevor Rogers stayed 3 seasons and was the best of it, and it still came out close to even.

Baltimore Orioles
franchise trade score · provisional
90far better
Franchise trade score90
Rest of season86WAR in-0.2WAR out-0.5Net+0.3Net surplus$2.4M
Short term83WAR in+4.1WAR out+4.0Net+0.1Net surplus$11.2M
Control window91WAR in+6.8WAR out+5.5Net+1.2Net surplus$20.9M
Full tenure90WAR in+6.8WAR out+5.5Net+1.2Net surplus$20.9M
Miami Marlins
franchise trade score · provisional
10far worse
Franchise trade score10
Rest of season14WAR in-0.5WAR out-0.2Net-0.3Net surplus−$2.4M
Short term17WAR in+4.0WAR out+4.1Net-0.1Net surplus−$11.2M
Control window9WAR in+5.5WAR out+6.8Net-1.2Net surplus−$20.9M
Full tenure10WAR in+5.5WAR out+6.8Net-1.2Net surplus−$20.9M

Baltimore Orioles received

Trevor RogersP · 27 · arb 1 · 3 yrs control+6.8WAR (control) · 3 yr95
Rest of season11WAR-0.2FIP−123IP19Surplus−$2.0M
Short term96WAR+4.1FIP−75IP129Surplus$54.4M
Control window95WAR+6.8FIP−79IP280Surplus$74.4M
Full tenure94WAR+6.8FIP−79IP280Surplus$74.4M

On the day: +3.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 93, salary $1.5M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Trevor Rogersarb 1$1.5M$9.4M+6.8$1.4M$74.4M
Total over the control window$9.4M+6.8$1.4M$74.4M

Miami Marlins received

Connor Norby1B · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.9WAR (control) · 3 yr72
Rest of season80WAR+0.2wRC+109PA162Surplus$1.4M
Short term76WAR+0.9wRC+96PA499Surplus$5.3M
Control window72WAR+0.9wRC+92PA732Surplus$4.8M
Full tenure71WAR+0.9wRC+92PA732Surplus$4.8M

On the day: no major-league record, salary $740K.

Kyle Stowers1B · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+4.6WAR (control) · 3 yr93
Rest of season3WAR-0.7wRC+57PA172Surplus−$5.8M
Short term94WAR+3.1wRC+124PA629Surplus$37.9M
Control window92WAR+4.6wRC+122PA1088Surplus$48.6M
Full tenure92WAR+4.6wRC+122PA1088Surplus$48.6M

On the day: -0.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -36, salary $740K.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Connor Norbypre-arb$740K$1.9M+0.9$2.0M$4.8M
Kyle Stowerspre-arb$740K$1.9M+4.6$0.4M$48.6M
Total over the control window$3.7M+5.5$0.7M$53.5M

What this became

  1. Connor Norby → COLConnor Norby, COL ⇄ MIA, 2026+0.5 WAR

Also that day

Jakob Junis, CIN ⇄ MIL, 2024Cincinnati Reds ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersBOS ⇄ CIN, 2024Boston Red Sox ⇄ Cincinnati RedsNYM ⇄ PIT, 2024New York Mets ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesCHC ⇄ NYY, 2024Chicago Cubs ⇄ New York YankeesLAA ⇄ SFG, 2024Los Angeles Angels ⇄ San Francisco GiantsAlex Cobb, CLE ⇄ SFG, 2024Cleveland Guardians ⇄ San Francisco GiantsLucas Erceg, KCR ⇄ OAK, 2024Kansas City Royals ⇄ AthleticsCaleb Ferguson, HOU ⇄ NYY, 2024Houston Astros ⇄ New York YankeesNYM ⇄ OAK, 2024New York Mets ⇄ AthleticsPaul DeJong, CHW ⇄ KCR, 2024Chicago White Sox ⇄ Kansas City RoyalsChase Lee, DET ⇄ TEX, 2024Detroit Tigers ⇄ Texas RangersTyler Zuber, NYM ⇄ TBR, 2024New York Mets ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysJosh Bell, ARI ⇄ MIA, 2024Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Miami MarlinsJ. T. Chargois, MIA ⇄ SEA, 2024Miami Marlins ⇄ Seattle MarinersTrevor Richards, MIN ⇄ TOR, 2024Minnesota Twins ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysIsiah Kiner-Falefa, PIT ⇄ TOR, 2024Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysHuascar Brazobán, MIA ⇄ NYM, 2024Miami Marlins ⇄ New York MetsShawn Armstrong, STL ⇄ TBR, 2024St. Louis Cardinals ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysMartín Pérez, PIT ⇄ SDP, 2024Pittsburgh Pirates ⇄ San Diego PadresAustin Slater, BAL ⇄ CIN, 2024Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Cincinnati RedsMark Canha, DET ⇄ SFG, 2024Detroit Tigers ⇄ San Francisco GiantsTanner Banks, CHW ⇄ PHI, 2024Chicago White Sox ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesMIA ⇄ PIT, 2024Miami Marlins ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesNYY ⇄ SDP, 2024New York Yankees ⇄ San Diego PadresGraham Pauley, MIA ⇄ SDP, 2024Miami Marlins ⇄ San Diego PadresRyan Zeferjahn, BOS ⇄ LAA, 2024Boston Red Sox ⇄ Los Angeles AngelsBAL ⇄ CHW, 2024Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Chicago White SoxJack Flaherty, DET ⇄ LAD, 2024Detroit Tigers ⇄ Los Angeles DodgersRyan Yarbrough, LAD ⇄ TOR, 2024Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Toronto Blue JaysGregory Soto, BAL ⇄ PHI, 2024Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Philadelphia PhilliesCIN ⇄ TEX, 2024Cincinnati Reds ⇄ Texas RangersBilly Cook, BAL ⇄ PIT, 2024Baltimore Orioles ⇄ Pittsburgh PiratesAndrés Chaparro, ARI ⇄ WSN, 2024Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Washington Nationals

The web around this trade

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