February 1, 2021 · Cash considerations

Nolan Arenado and 5 others: Colorado RockiesSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals got 18.3 WAR out of Nolan Arenado over 5 seasons. Colorado Rockies got 1.4 from the whole return.

Colorado Rockies
franchise trade score
1far worse
Franchise trade score1
Rest of season6WAR in+0.8WAR out+4.3Net-3.4Net surplus−$3.2M
Short term0WAR in+1.5WAR out+11.8Net-10.3Net surplus−$64.9M
Control window1WAR in+1.4WAR out+18.3Net-16.9Net surplus−$51.5M
Full tenure2WAR in+1.4WAR out+18.3Net-16.9Net surplus−$51.5M
St. Louis Cardinals
franchise trade score
99far better
Franchise trade score99
Rest of season94WAR in+4.3WAR out+0.8Net+3.4Net surplus$3.2M
Short term100WAR in+11.8WAR out+1.5Net+10.3Net surplus$64.9M
Control window99WAR in+18.3WAR out+1.4Net+16.9Net surplus$51.5M
Full tenure98WAR in+18.3WAR out+1.4Net+16.9Net surplus$51.5M

Colorado Rockies received

Elehuris Montero1B · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control-2.1WAR (control) · 3 yr14
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term58WAR+0.2wRC+81PA185Surplus$0.5M
Control window2WAR-2.1wRC+68PA739Surplus−$17.3M
Full tenure3WAR-2.1wRC+68PA739Surplus−$17.3M
Tony Loceyprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Mateo Gilprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

Austin GomberP · 28 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control+3.5WAR (control) · 5 yr79
Rest of season85WAR+0.8FIP−103IP115Surplus$3.0M
Short term78WAR+1.4FIP−106IP240Surplus$5.7M
Control window81WAR+3.5FIP−115IP602Surplus$12.8M
Full tenure80WAR+3.5FIP−115IP602Surplus$12.8M

On the day: +1.9 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 82, salary $576K.

Jake Sommersprospect—WAR (control)—

Not rated.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Elehuris Monteroprospectest.$2.2M-2.1—−$17.3M
Austin Gomberpre-arb$576K$12.3M+3.5$3.5M$12.8M
Total over the control window$14.5M+1.4$10.7M−$4.5M

St. Louis Cardinals received

Nolan Arenado3B · 30 · signed (FA) · 6 yrs control+18.3WAR (control) · 5 yr96
Rest of season95WAR+4.3wRC+112PA653Surplus$6.2M
Short term99WAR+11.8wRC+130PA1273Surplus$71.0M
Control window96WAR+18.3wRC+112PA2956Surplus$47.0M
Full tenure96WAR+18.3wRC+112PA2956Surplus$47.0M

On the day: +12.5 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 76, salary $35.0M, signed through 2026.

Cash—WAR (control)—

Not rated — cash.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Nolan Arenadosigned (FA) thru 2026$35.0M$166.2M+18.3$9.1M$47.0M
Total over the control window$166.2M+18.3$9.1M$47.0M

What this became

  1. Tony Locey → TBRCOL ⇄ TBR, 2023— WAR
  2. Nolan Arenado → ARINolan Arenado, ARI ⇄ STL, 2026+2.0 WAR

Also that day

MIA ⇄ NYM, 2021Miami Marlins ⇄ New York Mets

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All COL ⇄ STL tradesHow the scores work