January 27, 2021

Steven Matz and 3 others: New York MetsToronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays came out ahead by 2.3 WAR, most of it from Steven Matz.

New York Mets

franchise trade score

9far worse

Franchise trade score9

Rest of season1WAR in-0.2WAR out+2.5Net-2.7Net surplus−$13.8M

Short term5WAR in-0.3WAR out+2.5Net-2.8Net surplus−$14.8M

Control window9WAR in+0.2WAR out+2.5Net-2.3Net surplus−$13.2M

Full tenure10WAR in+0.2WAR out+2.5Net-2.3Net surplus−$13.2M

Toronto Blue Jays

franchise trade score

91far better

Franchise trade score91

Rest of season99WAR in+2.5WAR out-0.2Net+2.7Net surplus$13.8M

Short term95WAR in+2.5WAR out-0.3Net+2.8Net surplus$14.8M

Control window91WAR in+2.5WAR out+0.2Net+2.3Net surplus$13.2M

Full tenure90WAR in+2.5WAR out+0.2Net+2.3Net surplus$13.2M

New York Mets received

Josh WinckowskiP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control0.0WAR (control)45

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Control window45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Full tenure45WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

never reached the majors for NYM

Yennsy DíazP · 25 · pre-arb · 5 yrs control-0.2WAR (control) · 1 yr21

Rest of season11WAR-0.2FIP−135IP25Surplus−$1.4M

Short term19WAR-0.2FIP−135IP25Surplus−$1.4M

Control window21WAR-0.2FIP−135IP25Surplus−$1.4M

Full tenure22WAR-0.2FIP−135IP25Surplus−$1.4M

too little playing time to rate quality

On the day: -0.3 WAR over the prior three seasons.

Sean Reid-FoleyP · 26 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+0.4WAR (control) · 4 yr54

Rest of season17WAR-0.0FIP−92IP21Surplus−$0.8M

Short term26WAR-0.1FIP−105IP31Surplus−$1.8M

Control window62WAR+0.4FIP−83IP60Surplus−$0.2M

Full tenure62WAR+0.4FIP−83IP60Surplus−$0.2M

On the day: +0.1 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 92.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Josh Winckowski	prospect	est.	$0.0M	0.0	—	$0.0M
Yennsy Díaz	pre-arb	est.	$0.6M	-0.2	—	−$1.4M
Sean Reid-Foley	pre-arb	est.	$2.8M	+0.4	—	−$0.2M
Total over the control window			$3.4M	+0.2	—	−$1.6M

Toronto Blue Jays received

Steven MatzP · 30 · arb 3 · 1 yr control+2.5WAR (control) · 1 yr86

Rest of season94WAR+2.5FIP−89IP151Surplus$11.6M

Short term89WAR+2.5FIP−89IP151Surplus$11.6M

Control window85WAR+2.5FIP−89IP151Surplus$11.6M

Full tenure84WAR+2.5FIP−89IP151Surplus$11.6M

On the day: +2.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 178, salary $5.2M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Steven Matz	arb 3	$5.2M	$4.8M	+2.5	$1.9M	$11.6M
Total over the control window			$4.8M	+2.5	$1.9M	$11.6M

What this became

Josh Winckowski → BOSAndrew Benintendi, BOS ⇄ KCR ⇄ NYM, 2021+1.4 WAR
Andrew Benintendi → NYYAndrew Benintendi, KCR ⇄ NYY, 2022+0.6 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

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