December 29, 2020

Yu Darvish and 6 others: Chicago CubsSan Diego Padres

San Diego Padres came out ahead by 8.6 WAR, most of it from Yu Darvish.

Chicago Cubs
franchise trade score
4far worse
Franchise trade score4
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term23WAR in-0.5WAR out+2.0Net-2.5Net surplus−$0.9M
Control window3WAR in-0.5WAR out+8.1Net-8.6Net surplus−$27.8M
Full tenure6WAR in-0.5WAR out+9.7Net-10.2Net surplus−$13.3M
San Diego Padres
franchise trade score
96far better
Franchise trade score96
Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M
Short term77WAR in+2.0WAR out-0.5Net+2.5Net surplus$0.9M
Control window97WAR in+8.1WAR out-0.5Net+8.6Net surplus$27.8M
Full tenure94WAR in+9.7WAR out-0.5Net+10.2Net surplus$13.3M

Chicago Cubs received

Owen CaissieWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Yeison SantanaWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Zach DaviesP · 27 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control-0.5WAR (control) · 1 yr8
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term8WAR-0.5FIP−130IP148Surplus−$9.9M
Control window9WAR-0.5FIP−130IP148Surplus−$9.9M
Full tenure9WAR-0.5FIP−130IP148Surplus−$9.9M

On the day: +5.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -12, FIP− 103, salary $5.3M.

Reginald PreciadoWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Ismael MenaWAR (control)

Not rated — never reached the majors.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Zach Daviesarb 2$5.3M$8.6M-0.5−$9.9M
Total over the control window$8.6M-0.5−$9.9M

San Diego Padres received

Víctor CaratiniC · 27 · pre-arb · 4 yrs control+0.0WAR (control) · 1 yr39
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term39WAR+0.0wRC+74PA356Surplus−$1.2M
Control window38WAR+0.0wRC+74PA356Surplus−$1.2M
Full tenure39WAR+0.0wRC+74PA356Surplus−$1.2M

On the day: +1.3 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 106, FIP− 254, salary $592K.

Yu DarvishP · 34 · signed (FA) · 3 yrs control+8.1WAR (control) · 3 yr91
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term63WAR+2.0FIP−93IP166Surplus−$7.8M
Control window93WAR+8.1FIP−89IP497Surplus$19.1M
Full tenure90WAR+9.7FIP−94IP651Surplus$4.6M

On the day: +6.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -51, FIP− 94, salary $22.0M, signed through 2023.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Víctor Caratinipre-arb$592K$1.3M+0.0−$1.2M
Yu Darvishsigned (FA) thru 2023$22.0M$66.0M+8.1$8.2M$19.1M
Total over the control window$67.3M+8.1$8.3M$17.9M

What this became

  1. Víctor Caratini → MILVíctor Caratini, MIL ⇄ SDP, 2022+1.9 WAR
  2. Brett Sullivan → PITBrett Sullivan, PIT ⇄ SDP, 2025+0.0 WAR

Also that day

Blake Snell, SDP ⇄ TBR, 2020San Diego Padres ⇄ Tampa Bay RaysJosé Alvarado, LAD ⇄ PHI ⇄ TBR, 2020Los Angeles Dodgers ⇄ Philadelphia Phillies ⇄ Tampa Bay Rays

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs
All CHC ⇄ SDP tradesHow the scores work