December 5, 2018

Carson Kelly and 4 others: Arizona DiamondbacksSt. Louis Cardinals

Arizona Diamondbacks came out ahead by 3.8 WAR, most of it from Carson Kelly.

Arizona Diamondbacks

franchise trade score

79better

Franchise trade score79

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term90WAR in+3.6WAR out+2.8Net+0.9Net surplus$13.7M

Control window93WAR in+6.5WAR out+2.8Net+3.8Net surplus$14.0M

Full tenure2WAR in+6.5WAR out+22.1Net-15.5Net surplus−$50.7M

ARI reached the World Series in 2023

St. Louis Cardinals

franchise trade score

21worse

Franchise trade score21

Rest of season50WAR in0.0WAR out0.0Net0.0Net surplus$0.0M

Short term10WAR in+2.8WAR out+3.6Net-0.9Net surplus−$13.7M

Control window7WAR in+2.8WAR out+6.5Net-3.8Net surplus−$14.0M

Full tenure98WAR in+22.1WAR out+6.5Net+15.5Net surplus$50.7M

Arizona Diamondbacks received

Luke WeaverP · 25 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+2.5WAR (control) · 4 yr84

Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M

Short term88WAR+1.7FIP−71IP64Surplus$10.9M

Control window84WAR+2.5FIP−92IP198Surplus$9.3M

Full tenure83WAR+2.5FIP−92IP198Surplus$9.3M

On the day: +2.0 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ -3, FIP− 75, salary $551K.

Carson KellyC · 24 · pre-arb · 6 yrs control+4.6WAR (control) · 5 yr83

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term86WAR+1.9wRC+107PA365Surplus$12.2M

Control window84WAR+4.6wRC+90PA1299Surplus$17.2M

Full tenure83WAR+4.6wRC+90PA1299Surplus$17.2M

On the day: -0.7 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 26.

Andrew Young2B · 24 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.5WAR (control) · 2 yr26

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Control window20WAR-0.5wRC+109PA138Surplus−$3.0M

Full tenure20WAR-0.5wRC+109PA138Surplus−$3.0M

Player to be named later—WAR (control)—

Not rated — never reached the majors.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Luke Weaver	pre-arb	$551K	$6.0M	+2.5	$2.4M	$9.3M
Carson Kelly	pre-arb	est.	$10.4M	+4.6	$2.3M	$17.2M
Andrew Young	prospect	est.	$1.3M	-0.5	—	−$3.0M
Total over the control window			$17.7M	+6.5	$2.7M	$23.5M

St. Louis Cardinals received

Paul Goldschmidt1B · 31 · signed (FA) · 1 yr control+2.8WAR (control) · 1 yr88

Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M

Short term91WAR+2.8wRC+117PA682Surplus$9.5M

Control window87WAR+2.8wRC+117PA682Surplus$9.5M

Full tenure98WAR+22.1wRC+131PA3584Surplus$74.2M

On the day: +17.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, wRC+ 142, salary $11.1M.

Received	Status	Salary that year	Paid	WAR	$/WAR	Surplus
Paul Goldschmidt	signed (FA)	$11.1M	$14.5M	+2.8	$5.2M	$9.5M
Total over the control window			$14.5M	+2.8	$5.2M	$9.5M

What this became

Luke Weaver → KCREmmanuel Rivera, ARI ⇄ KCR, 2022+0.0 WAR
Emmanuel Rivera → MIAARI ⇄ MIA, 2024-0.4 WAR

The web around this trade

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player · size = WAR delivered, colour = percentile ( worse better) franchise trade 0 players · 0 trades · 0 clubs

All ARI ⇄ STL trades How the scores work