July 27, 2018

Ryan Pressly and 2 others: Houston AstrosMinnesota Twins

Close to a wash — the margin never reached a full win.

Houston Astros
franchise trade score
92far better
Franchise trade score92
Rest of season96WAR in+1.2WAR out0.0Net+1.2Net surplus$8.2M
Short term95WAR in+2.8WAR out+0.0Net+2.8Net surplus$16.7M
Control window91WAR in+2.8WAR out+1.1Net+1.7Net surplus$14.2M
Full tenure87WAR in+7.7WAR out+0.6Net+7.1Net surplus$3.9M

HOU won the World Series in 2022

Minnesota Twins
franchise trade score
8far worse
Franchise trade score8
Rest of season4WAR in0.0WAR out+1.2Net-1.2Net surplus−$8.2M
Short term5WAR in+0.0WAR out+2.8Net-2.8Net surplus−$16.7M
Control window9WAR in+1.1WAR out+2.8Net-1.7Net surplus−$14.2M
Full tenure13WAR in+0.6WAR out+7.7Net-7.1Net surplus−$3.9M

Houston Astros received

Ryan PresslyP · 30 · arb 2 · 2 yrs control+2.8WAR (control) · 2 yr90
Rest of season94WAR+1.2FIP−37IP23Surplus$8.2M
Short term93WAR+2.8FIP−52IP78Surplus$16.3M
Control window89WAR+2.8FIP−52IP78Surplus$16.3M
Full tenure91WAR+7.7FIP−63IP333Surplus$2.9M

On the day: +1.6 WAR over the prior three seasons, FIP− 99, salary $1.6M.

ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Ryan Presslyarb 2$1.6M$3.6M+2.8$1.3M$16.3M
Total over the control window$3.6M+2.8$1.3M$16.3M

Minnesota Twins received

Jorge AlcaláP · 23 · prospect · 6 yrs control+1.2WAR (control) · 6 yr69
Rest of season47WAR0.0FIP−—IP0Surplus$0.0M
Short term47WAR+0.0FIP−83IP2Surplus−$0.4M
Control window74WAR+1.2FIP−103IP163Surplus$2.6M
Full tenure57WAR+0.7FIP−107IP188Surplus−$0.6M
Gilberto CelestinoCF · 19 · prospect · 6 yrs control-0.1WAR (control) · 2 yr31
Rest of season47WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Short term45WAR0.0wRC+—PA0Surplus$0.0M
Control window29WAR-0.1wRC+72PA409Surplus−$0.5M
Full tenure29WAR-0.1wRC+72PA409Surplus−$0.5M
ReceivedStatusSalary that yearPaidWAR$/WARSurplus
Jorge Alcaláprospectest.$4.1M+1.2$3.5M$2.6M
Gilberto Celestinoprospectest.$1.4M-0.1—−$0.5M
Total over the control window$5.5M+1.1$4.9M$2.1M

What this became

  1. Ryan Pressly → CHCCHC ⇄ HOU, 2025-0.5 WAR
  2. Jorge Alcalá → BOSBOS ⇄ MIN, 2025-0.2 WAR

Also that day

Cole Hamels, CHC ⇄ TEX, 2018Chicago Cubs ⇄ Texas RangersEduardo Escobar, ARI ⇄ MIN, 2018Arizona Diamondbacks ⇄ Minnesota TwinsBrett Phillips, KCR ⇄ MIL, 2018Kansas City Royals ⇄ Milwaukee BrewersSam Tuivailala, SEA ⇄ STL, 2018Seattle Mariners ⇄ St. Louis CardinalsNYM ⇄ PHI, 2018New York Mets ⇄ Philadelphia Phillies

The web around this trade

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